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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 9, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.

DAL winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Thompson–PeterkaCozens–Quinn–BensonSkinner–Greenway–KrebsGirgensons–Jost–RousekGirgensons–Greenway–JostCozens–Rousek–BensonSkinner–Krebs–QuinnSkinner–Cozens–QuinnSkinner–Krebs–RousekDahlin–PowerJokiharju–ByramClifton–BrysonJokiharju–DahlinByram–PowerJokiharju–Power
Benn–Stankoven–Johnston3:480.23–0.120:300.01–0.001:060.30–0.022:060.00–0.010:570.00–0.010:370.00–0.064:010.53–0.033:370.00–0.331:200.00–0.00
Duchene–Seguin–Marchment0:590.00–0.003:120.00–0.182:520.27–0.002:490.16–0.010:300.10–0.002:260.09–0.012:440.23–0.125:190.27–0.06
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson5:190.06–0.011:450.11–0.163:530.06–0.013:450.22–0.000:510.00–0.181:010.00–0.00
Smith–Faksa–Steel1:250.15–0.001:250.02–0.001:430.11–0.002:290.11–0.002:240.15–0.001:060.02–0.000:580.00–0.00
Benn–Smith–Steel0:520.00–0.000:570.00–0.00
Tanev–Lindell3:330.00–0.001:220.02–0.001:080.18–0.000:300.02–0.002:440.02–0.002:140.18–0.002:060.02–0.00
Heiskanen–Harley3:040.22–0.191:500.00–0.121:010.03–0.020:330.00–0.000:560.00–0.012:370.06–0.023:240.19–0.321:230.00–0.00
Suter–Tanev1:540.00–0.001:480.00–0.060:330.00–0.000:300.10–0.000:300.00–0.000:420.00–0.002:060.01–0.001:320.10–0.061:090.00–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen1:470.00–0.120:310.30–0.000:360.00–0.160:300.00–0.000:520.00–0.002:000.30–0.000:470.00–0.001:130.00–0.16
Suter–Lundkvist0:570.00–0.002:320.09–0.010:460.06–0.002:390.09–0.010:550.00–0.000:500.06–0.00
Lindell–Harley0:360.04–0.010:530.00–0.000:490.00–0.00
Suter–Heiskanen0:390.04–0.001:100.04–0.000:370.00–0.020:360.00–0.00
Lundkvist–Harley0:360.00–0.000:320.05–0.00
Heiskanen–Lundkvist0:460.00–0.000:330.08–0.001:060.00–0.00
Tanev–Harley1:000.23–0.000:380.11–0.000:380.11–0.000:350.00–0.00
Suter–Harley0:540.12–0.000:360.00–0.000:300.00–0.02
Suter–Lindell0:300.01–0.000:510.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPavelski FRobertson FHintz FMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FStankoven FBenn FJohnston FSmith FSteel FFaksa FTanev DLindell DHeiskanen DHarley DLundkvist DSuter DOettinger GThompson FPeterka FTuch FBenson FQuinn FCozens FKrebs FGreenway FSkinner FRousek FJost FGirgensons FPower DDahlin DByram DJokiharju DClifton DBryson DLuukkonen G
DALBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3025:040:501:5047
Rasmus DahlinBUF3024:490:501:4156
Esa LindellDAL2922:340:472:1435
JJ PeterkaBUF2422:240:562:0351
Alex TuchBUF2621:550:512:0251
Thomas HarleyDAL2621:510:501:4223
Tage ThompsonBUF2421:500:551:5232
Miro HeiskanenDAL2321:210:562:0553
Chris TanevDAL3020:270:411:3114
Ryan SuterDAL2620:270:471:1933
Bowen ByramBUF2819:580:431:1976
Henri JokiharjuBUF2719:250:431:4665
Tyler SeguinDAL2117:080:491:3253
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2316:300:431:2063
Matt DucheneDAL1816:210:551:3752
Dylan CozensBUF2116:130:461:0864
Jamie BennDAL2215:590:442:0543
Jack QuinnBUF1915:270:491:2821
Mason MarchmentDAL1715:030:531:2551
Zach BensonBUF1814:550:501:3261
Joe PavelskiDAL1914:530:471:4442
Roope HintzDAL2214:530:411:1843
Jason RobertsonDAL1914:450:471:2042
Sam SteelDAL1914:200:451:2932
Jordan GreenwayBUF2014:170:431:2565
Connor CliftonBUF2014:150:431:0822
Logan StankovenDAL2113:490:391:0844
Radek FaksaDAL2013:350:411:3333
Jacob BrysonBUF1913:280:431:1041
Jeff SkinnerBUF1813:030:441:1464
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1911:090:350:5636
Tyson JostBUF1610:360:401:0235
Craig SmithDAL1710:340:370:5921
Peyton KrebsBUF169:540:371:0213
Nils LundkvistDAL139:300:441:2851
Lukas RousekBUF149:290:411:1424