Mon, Oct 28, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Florida Panthers 5, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.
29%
10%
9%
52%
BUF winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.04 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.01 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 20:55 | 0.46 | 34.5% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.20 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:01 | 0.01 | 63.9% | +1.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.06 | 57.1% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:02 | 0.12 | 83.1% | +26.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 18:57 | 0.79 | 80.3% | +40.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.04 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.13 | 60.6% | +38.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:50 | 0.00 | 60.0% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 | 0.08 | 47.4% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.23 | 61.2% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:43 | 0.03 | 60.9% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:57 | 0.09 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:00 | 0.24 | 88.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:51 | 0.05 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.95 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:50 | 0.08 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:48 | 0.32 | 59.6% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.04 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:45 | 0.13 | 30.5% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:35 | 0.28 | 44.8% | +24.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.14 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:31 | 0.35 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.00 | 26.7% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.06 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.03 | 8.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:33 | 0.01 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.05 | 17.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.20 | 41.8% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:05 | 0.00 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:25 | 0.00 | 93.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:45 | 0.05 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:19 | 0.19 | 68.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 26 | 5 | .839 | 2.58 | −2.4 | 58:10 |