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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 28, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 5, Buffalo Sabres 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 61% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Bennett–TkachukBarkov–Reinhart–RodriguesBoqvist–Luostarinen–LundellGreer–Giles–SamoskevichGreer–Lundell–SamoskevichKulikov–MikkolaEkblad–ForslingSchmidt–Balinskis
Tuch–Thompson–Peterka3:310.03–0.225:220.08–0.150:440.06–0.000:380.00–0.102:540.02–0.007:430.18–0.421:000.00–0.18
Zucker–Greenway–McLeod4:320.04–0.101:440.02–0.012:020.00–0.021:000.00–0.025:140.03–0.042:170.02–0.011:570.01–0.10
Krebs–Cozens–Quinn2:000.00–0.131:320.04–0.081:540.19–0.111:170.00–0.301:100.04–0.002:270.19–0.14
Aube-Kubel–Cozens–Quinn0:340.00–0.002:130.00–0.130:410.00–0.002:110.00–0.131:260.00–0.00
Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs0:450.00–0.011:390.02–0.000:520.02–0.000:460.00–0.011:230.00–0.00
Aube-Kubel–Lafferty–Malenstyn0:430.03–0.000:440.03–0.011:170.31–0.00
Lafferty–McLeod–Krebs0:350.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Byram–Power1:300.00–0.004:570.08–0.052:530.09–0.311:020.00–0.102:480.00–0.186:070.17–0.003:180.00–0.36
Clifton–Samuelsson7:450.04–0.231:080.00–0.000:500.00–0.035:050.03–0.071:050.00–0.003:440.01–0.15
Jokiharju–Dahlin1:180.03–0.002:170.04–0.171:210.00–0.003:070.02–0.200:380.35–0.093:240.40–0.003:390.04–0.412:110.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:590.03–0.010:420.19–0.000:440.03–0.221:560.51–0.01
Dahlin–Byram0:390.01–0.000:370.00–0.001:060.01–0.00
Jokiharju–Byram0:430.02–0.011:100.00–0.021:100.00–0.020:480.07–0.01
Jokiharju–Power0:500.00–0.030:370.00–0.000:360.06–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGreenway FZucker FMcLeod FPeterka FTuch FThompson FCozens FQuinn FAube-Kubel FMalenstyn FKrebs FLafferty FSamuelsson DClifton DJokiharju DDahlin DByram DPower DLuukkonen GBennett FTkachuk FVerhaeghe FReinhart FBarkov FRodrigues FLuostarinen FLundell FBoqvist FGreer FSamoskevich FGiles FKulikov DMikkola DEkblad DForsling DBalinskis DSchmidt DBobrovsky G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Bowen ByramBUF2723:500:531:3504
Rasmus DahlinBUF2821:480:472:3755
Niko MikkolaFLA2921:290:441:0754
Alex TuchBUF2621:020:491:2144
Aaron EkbladFLA2721:000:471:3835
Sam ReinhartFLA2420:550:521:2482
JJ PeterkaBUF2320:450:541:4761
Owen PowerBUF2520:350:491:3714
Dmitry KulikovFLA2720:020:451:0943
Gustav ForslingFLA2620:010:461:3824
Aleksander BarkovFLA2419:290:491:2482
Henri JokiharjuBUF2519:180:461:3522
Matthew TkachukFLA2419:020:481:2453
Carter VerhaegheFLA2518:570:451:2463
Dylan CozensBUF2318:310:481:3244
Tage ThompsonBUF2318:270:481:5463
Uvis BalinskisFLA2217:570:492:0672
Sam BennettFLA2517:550:431:3352
Ryan McLeodBUF2317:200:451:2323
Evan RodriguesFLA1917:000:541:1951
Connor CliftonBUF2416:140:411:2318
Nate SchmidtFLA2015:500:481:5742
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2515:330:371:1609
Jordan GreenwayBUF2215:050:411:1633
Anton LundellFLA2514:580:361:3735
Jack QuinnBUF2114:510:421:1623
Jason ZuckerBUF1914:040:441:3350
Peyton KrebsBUF2013:050:391:0725
Jesper BoqvistFLA2211:570:330:5423
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2111:430:330:5923
A.J. GreerFLA179:570:351:0131
Sam LaffertyBUF128:250:421:1301
Patrick GilesFLA138:000:371:1020
Mackie SamoskevichFLA127:510:391:1620
Beck MalenstynBUF117:450:421:0202
Nicolas Aube-KubelBUF107:190:441:1112