Fri, Nov 1, 2024·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Tampa Bay Lightning 3, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 83% of the time.
76%
11%
MIN winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 24:58 | 0.24 | 72.8% | +43.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:10 | 0.42 | 53.7% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 8 | 22:41 | 0.48 | 45.0% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:39 | 0.23 | 56.1% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 22:25 | 0.18 | 40.8% | +17.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:54 | 0.02 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.05 | 29.6% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.00 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:09 | 0.00 | 34.2% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:32 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.11 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.24 | 5.7% | +6.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.02 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.00 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:17 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.03 | 8.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.92 | −0.1 | 57:03 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 25:07 | 0.05 | 74.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:15 | 0.00 | 63.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:21 | 0.05 | 71.3% | +24.4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 23:01 | 1.16 | 76.5% | +56.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.04 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:14 | 0.30 | 44.3% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.92 | 44.8% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:34 | 0.41 | 92.3% | +33.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.07 | 89.5% | +53.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:50 | 0.30 | 51.4% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.23 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.23 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:01 | 0.02 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 81.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 11:28 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:46 | 0.14 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 46.0% | +24.4 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.03 | −1.0 | 60:00 |