Tue, Nov 5, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
34%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25:27 | 0.06 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.02 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:39 | 0.11 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.39 | 49.1% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:09 | 0.07 | 61.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:04 | 0.33 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:47 | 0.02 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.33 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.14 | 23.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:01 | 0.11 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 64.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:38 | 0.25 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:04 | 0.49 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.01 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13:19 | 0.25 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.16 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.17 | 69.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 29 | 5 | .853 | 3.39 | −1.6 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:39 | 0.00 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:33 | 0.13 | 46.1% | +13.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:31 | 0.10 | 38.1% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.08 | 80.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 11 | 16:21 | 1.00 | 75.2% | +6.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.40 | 46.6% | +9.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 15:57 | 0.57 | 81.0% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.19 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.03 | 74.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.36 | 85.1% | +5.6 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 14:43 | 0.00 | 73.1% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.01 | 16.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:16 | 0.32 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:44 | 0.07 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:30 | 0.12 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:14 | 0.00 | 28.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 37 | 1 | .974 | 2.90 | +1.9 | 60:00 |