Tue, Nov 5, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 1, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
50%
9%
34%
BUF winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cousins–Gaudette–MacEwen | Tkachuk–Greig–Stützle | Giroux–Norris–Batherson | Amadio–Gregor–Ostapchuk | Giroux–Batherson–Stützle | Norris–Tkachuk–Greig | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Gregor–Greig–Ostapchuk | Amadio–Gaudette–Gregor | Cousins–MacEwen–Ostapchuk | Jensen–Chabot | Hamonic–Sanderson | Bernard-Docker–Kleven | Chabot–Sanderson | Jensen–Kleven | Hamonic–Chabot | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs | 3:330.12–0.27 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.19 | 2:260.13–0.03 | 0:460.03–0.00 | 2:480.12–0.34 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 4:470.15–0.26 | 0:580.00–0.23 | |||||||
| Zucker–Greenway–McLeod | 0:570.00–0.00 | 4:420.26–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 3:030.17–0.05 | 3:390.05–0.00 | 2:080.19–0.05 | |||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 0:360.04–0.00 | 2:371.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:110.17–0.08 | 3:171.07–0.19 | 0:510.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Benson | 2:140.05–0.06 | 1:050.00–0.15 | 1:060.00–0.01 | 0:440.04–0.00 | 2:550.03–0.07 | 2:010.04–0.17 | 1:200.02–0.00 | |||||||||
| Thompson–Quinn–Peterka | 0:410.06–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 4:340.19–0.38 | 2:390.00–0.00 | 0:360.13–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.04 | 0:450.03–0.00 | 3:040.02–0.46 | 3:470.09–0.19 | 2:380.24–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Bryson–Power | 1:080.04–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 2:290.78–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.15 | 1:200.00–0.06 | 0:320.04–0.00 | 4:500.33–0.06 | 4:450.82–0.17 | 1:000.00–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Clifton–Gilbert | 4:290.11–0.23 | 2:340.00–0.03 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:470.03–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 5:120.08–0.30 | 1:170.00–0.22 | |||||||||
| Byram–Power | 0:310.00–0.01 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.19 | 1:040.00–0.19 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.09 | ||||||||||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Clifton–Bryson | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Clifton–Byram | 0:390.12–0.08 | 1:030.12–0.11 | ||||||||||||||
| Bryson–Byram | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 33 | 25:27 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 6 | 3 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 28 | 22:39 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 3 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 30 | 22:33 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 8 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 27 | 22:31 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 5 | 5 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 30 | 22:12 | 0:44 | 1:22 | 6 | 8 |
 Nick JensenOTT | 29 | 19:39 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 2 | 3 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 23 | 18:52 | 0:49 | 2:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 23 | 17:56 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 0 | 4 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 28 | 17:10 | 0:37 | 1:20 | 6 | 7 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 25 | 17:09 | 0:41 | 1:33 | 7 | 5 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 24 | 17:04 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 9 | 7 |
 Tyler KlevenOTT | 21 | 16:53 | 0:48 | 2:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 25 | 16:47 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 16:21 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 26 | 16:10 | 0:37 | 1:23 | 7 | 2 |
 Adam GaudetteOTT | 20 | 16:09 | 0:48 | 2:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 21 | 16:08 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 6 | 4 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 21 | 15:57 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 20 | 15:45 | 0:47 | 1:37 | 5 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 25 | 15:28 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 5 | 5 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 15:20 | 0:38 | 1:18 | 2 | 6 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 15:01 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 8 | 0 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 14:48 | 0:37 | 1:14 | 3 | 7 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 25 | 14:43 | 0:35 | 1:32 | 5 | 5 |
 Michael AmadioOTT | 21 | 14:38 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 21 | 14:35 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 1 | 4 |
 Sam LaffertyBUF | 20 | 14:16 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Noah GregorOTT | 21 | 14:04 | 0:40 | 1:35 | 2 | 4 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 13:44 | 0:37 | 1:25 | 5 | 2 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 18 | 13:24 | 0:45 | 2:16 | 3 | 0 |
 Zack MacEwenOTT | 20 | 13:19 | 0:40 | 2:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Nick CousinsOTT | 18 | 12:56 | 0:43 | 2:11 | 4 | 0 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 12:30 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 1 | 4 |
 Dennis GilbertBUF | 19 | 12:26 | 0:39 | 1:25 | 0 | 4 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 18 | 10:14 | 0:34 | 1:13 | 4 | 1 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 15 | 10:03 | 0:40 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |