Fri, Dec 20, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Montréal Canadiens 4, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 55% of the time.
36%
9%
47%
DET winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 24:21 | 0.25 | 58.1% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.10 | 63.7% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:49 | 0.05 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.05 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.03 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.07 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.07 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.17 | 61.1% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.27 | 44.0% | +36.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.36 | 67.4% | +34.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:18 | 0.26 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.15 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:36 | 0.10 | 37.8% | +28.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:37 | 0.31 | 55.4% | +36.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:48 | 0.15 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.12 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0.57 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 9:39 | 0.13 | 79.6% | +43.5 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.90 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 27:17 | 0.11 | 42.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 22:59 | 0.07 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:57 | 0.20 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.44 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:24 | 0.18 | 35.2% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.02 | 36.0% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:06 | 0.33 | 35.2% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.32 | 32.4% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.10 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.12 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.09 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:17 | 0.21 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:51 | 0.18 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.10 | 44.7% | +44.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:40 | 0.23 | 25.5% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.18 | 43.8% | +23.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 | 0.02 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.20 | −0.8 | 58:02 |