Sun, Dec 29, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Washington Capitals 2, Detroit Red Wings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 74% of the time.
67%
19%
DET winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 26:52 | 0.06 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.34 | 31.6% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.26 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:30 | 0.08 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.08 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 20:22 | 0.34 | 40.6% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.06 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.04 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.10 | 45.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.16 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.14 | 42.1% | +11.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.12 | 41.9% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.09 | 32.1% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.01 | 31.5% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.13 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:11 | 0.06 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:16 | 0.02 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.13 | −0.9 | 58:10 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 25:49 | 0.07 | 46.2% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.00 | 46.2% | +9.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:42 | 0.39 | 68.9% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:07 | 0.00 | 66.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.08 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 17:49 | 0.81 | 66.6% | +21.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.51 | 82.7% | +18.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.09 | 65.3% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:44 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:30 | 0.17 | 28.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.11 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:09 | 0.13 | 78.5% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 12:21 | 0.20 | 74.5% | +10.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.08 | 72.3% | +11.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:08 | 0.40 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:36 | 0.26 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:35 | 0.24 | 60.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 60:00 |