Tue, Jan 21, 2025·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Montréal Canadiens 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.
15%
74%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:55 | 0.57 | 73.6% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:05 | 0.05 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:48 | 0.13 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:49 | 0.47 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:29 | 1.00 | 81.1% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:55 | 0.99 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:46 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.01 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:17 | 0.63 | 66.7% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:31 | 0.04 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.18 | 78.9% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.02 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 | 0.02 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:21 | 0.35 | 72.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:09 | 0.13 | 43.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.09 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:44 | 0.22 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:09 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.15 | −0.8 | 58:09 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:42 | 0.04 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:24 | 0.02 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.03 | 14.0% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.13 | 43.9% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.08 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:47 | 0.08 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:58 | 0.31 | 53.4% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:21 | 0.36 | 25.6% | +14.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.64 | 43.6% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:16 | 0.10 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:38 | 0.20 | 61.4% | +36.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.11 | 37.7% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.00 | 9.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:03 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:23 | 0.23 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:20 | 0.06 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:21 | 0.38 | 16.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:57 | 0.03 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 4.91 | +2.9 | 60:00 |