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Ice Lab

Wed, Jan 22, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsCBJ wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CBJ's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marchenko–Voronkov–Fantillivan Riemsdyk–Johnson–Del Bel BelluzOlivier–Danforth–Aston-ReeseKuraly–Pyyhtia–JohnsonKuraly–Marchenko–PyyhtiaKuraly–Pyyhtia–Del Bel BelluzKuraly–Olivier–PyyhtiaVoronkov–Johnson–FantilliWerenski–FabbroProvorov–ChristiansenSeverson–HarrisJohnson–SeversonSeverson–WerenskiSeverson–ProvorovProvorov–HarrisJohnson–ProvorovFabbro–Christiansen
Marner–Matthews–Knies3:510.43–0.051:230.23–0.241:170.09–0.000:370.03–0.005:110.30–0.031:210.44–0.000:370.03–0.00
Nylander–Holmberg–McMann1:450.00–0.012:120.17–0.001:020.02–0.000:440.00–0.081:130.00–0.011:480.19–0.001:200.00–0.000:580.00–0.160:480.00–0.11
Reaves–Lorentz–Kampf0:530.00–0.000:510.15–0.471:520.06–0.001:240.15–0.471:390.06–0.000:310.12–0.000:560.07–0.00
Domi–Robertson–Minten0:440.00–0.521:120.07–0.001:090.13–0.001:110.01–0.001:300.12–0.521:520.08–0.000:570.04–0.00
Nylander–Marner–Matthews2:270.09–0.230:470.26–0.002:510.09–0.23
Domi–Nylander–McMann0:300.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:120.00–0.00
Domi–Robertson–McMann1:140.00–0.120:310.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Reaves–Kampf–Holmberg0:460.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Marner–Matthews–McMann1:020.18–0.000:420.00–0.00
Nylander–Lorentz–Kampf0:330.00–0.030:330.00–0.030:320.01–0.00
Holmberg–Robertson–Minten1:010.00–0.060:350.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Tanev6:200.16–0.262:170.31–0.470:570.00–0.001:490.00–0.001:050.00–0.007:330.38–0.731:530.00–0.001:160.01–0.000:540.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Rielly–McCabe2:470.26–0.553:560.30–0.002:230.07–0.001:310.09–0.004:010.23–0.532:540.14–0.000:370.03–0.002:240.22–0.000:310.00–0.000:310.18–0.00
Timmins–Benoit0:490.00–0.003:490.20–0.060:380.12–0.081:360.01–0.080:520.18–0.001:030.05–0.123:000.18–0.002:340.07–0.001:460.03–0.211:140.18–0.110:410.12–0.00
Tanev–McCabe1:580.00–0.031:360.00–0.031:060.07–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:520.00–0.12
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit0:340.00–0.000:400.06–0.060:350.00–0.00
McCabe–Benoit0:570.13–0.000:510.13–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FHolmberg FMcMann FLorentz FKampf FReaves FMinten FRobertson FDomi FTanev DEkman-Larsson DRielly DMcCabe DBenoit DTimmins DHildeby GVoronkov FFantilli FMarchenko Fvan Riemsdyk FJohnson FDel Bel Belluz FDanforth FOlivier FAston-Reese FKuraly FPyyhtia FWerenski DFabbro DProvorov DChristiansen DHarris DSeverson DJohnson DMerzlikins G
TORCBJFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ2424:431:022:2815
Dante FabbroCBJ2524:230:592:2916
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3023:190:471:2173
William NylanderTOR2323:001:001:3862
Morgan RiellyTOR2921:520:451:0972
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2120:370:591:3416
Mitch MarnerTOR1920:341:051:4840
Chris TanevTOR2720:140:451:2833
Auston MatthewsTOR2019:360:591:4840
Bobby McMannTOR2019:350:591:3742
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ2419:320:491:1026
Jake McCabeTOR2719:160:431:2822
Adam FantilliCBJ2118:370:531:4124
Kent JohnsonCBJ2217:540:491:2322
Damon SeversonCBJ1917:400:561:5133
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ2116:120:461:3913
Max DomiTOR1916:020:511:1251
Luca Del Bel BelluzCBJ1915:490:501:1321
Nick RobertsonTOR1815:360:521:4240
Zachary Aston-ReeseCBJ2015:160:461:1326
Sean KuralyCBJ1815:100:511:1714
Simon BenoitTOR2014:370:441:4131
Fraser MintenTOR1614:160:541:1540
Conor TimminsTOR2013:560:421:4321
Mathieu OlivierCBJ1913:480:441:2623
Matthew KniesTOR1213:411:081:4821
Jake ChristiansenCBJ1613:390:511:2833
Pontus HolmbergTOR1513:300:541:1412
Mikael PyyhtiaCBJ1512:430:511:1613
Justin DanforthCBJ2012:410:381:0225
James van RiemsdykCBJ1512:070:481:2510
Jack JohnsonCBJ1210:410:531:2313
David KampfTOR1510:270:421:1101
Steven LorentzTOR159:080:370:5801
Jordan HarrisCBJ98:280:561:5113
Ryan ReavesTOR138:070:371:0411