Sat, Feb 1, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Islanders 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
61%
24%
TBL winsNYI wins
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Alexander RomanovD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 31:39 | 0.03 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Tony DeAngeloD · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 26:39 | 0.38 | 61.5% | +53.9 |
 Adam PelechD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 22:51 | 0.38 | 61.4% | 0.0 |
 Bo HorvatC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 21:08 | 0.13 | 72.6% | +53.9 |
 Brock NelsonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:15 | 0.46 | 58.8% | 0.0 |
 Anders LeeLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.27 | 61.2% | 0.0 |
 Mathew BarzalC · #13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.15 | 82.1% | +22.1 |
 Scott PerunovichD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.03 | 55.7% | 0.0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauC · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:06 | 0.00 | 72.5% | 0.0 |
 Simon HolmstromRW · #10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.32 | 67.3% | +76.0 |
 Kyle PalmieriC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.18 | 68.3% | +33.0 |
 Casey CizikasC · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 |
 Maxim TsyplakovRW · #7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:45 | 0.13 | 74.4% | +33.0 |
 Adam BoqvistD · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.21 | 71.8% | +22.1 |
 Scott MayfieldD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Kyle MacLeanC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:03 | 0.12 | 38.3% | 0.0 |
 Marc GatcombC · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:53 | 0.00 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Pierre EngvallLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:52 | 0.16 | 44.4% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Sorokin#30 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 4.16 | +2.2 | 60:33 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 24:24 | 0.02 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:59 | 0.40 | 42.3% | +49.8 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:34 | 0.32 | 53.4% | +49.8 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 22:14 | 1.41 | 58.0% | +17.1 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 22:01 | 0.72 | 59.8% | +49.8 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.04 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.16 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 27.7% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 14.1% | +17.1 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.28 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.03 | 50.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:05 | 0.13 | 59.2% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.16 | 60.5% | +17.1 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.22 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.10 | 30.7% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:51 | 0.11 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
 Cam AtkinsonRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:29 | 0.06 | 35.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | O | 36 | 33 | 3 | .917 | 2.95 | −0.1 | 58:33 |