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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 4, 2025·Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle

Detroit Red Wings 5, Seattle Kraken 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 65% of the time.

SEA winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

SEA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Larkin–Raymond–KasperKane–Rasmussen–SoderblomTarasenko–Copp–DeBrincatShine–Veleno–BerggrenChiarot–SeiderJohansson–EdvinssonHoll–Gustafsson
Schwartz–Kakko–Beniers3:500.01–0.203:320.15–0.115:040.03–0.292:000.29–0.007:450.18–0.225:300.22–0.231:210.00–0.15
Burakovsky–McCann–Wright2:230.05–0.034:250.71–0.001:040.00–0.061:440.07–0.032:580.11–0.053:220.27–0.103:040.08–0.03
Stephenson–Bjorkstrand–Tolvanen4:010.04–0.280:480.00–0.002:510.11–0.090:420.00–0.302:520.00–0.302:570.00–0.112:450.06–0.27
Stephens–Tanev–Kartye0:430.00–0.001:540.00–0.102:290.41–0.011:460.40–0.012:300.01–0.051:180.00–0.04
Stephenson–Tanev–Tolvanen1:320.11–0.000:440.00–0.041:020.12–0.061:100.00–0.041:480.23–0.080:440.00–0.00
Stephenson–Burakovsky–Tolvanen0:460.00–0.060:470.00–0.06
Larsson–Dunn10:350.21–0.380:500.09–0.005:260.25–0.291:170.53–0.007:130.62–0.117:040.26–0.274:410.06–0.37
Oleksiak–Montour1:250.00–0.135:150.39–0.143:050.00–0.281:570.00–0.314:230.04–0.484:180.00–0.243:170.05–0.16
Mahura–Fleury0:450.00–0.063:250.28–0.101:000.00–0.023:470.24–0.013:110.02–0.013:390.36–0.052:300.03–0.12
Montour–Dunn0:550.11–0.001:020.00–0.001:340.00–0.001:000.11–0.11
Larsson–Oleksiak0:440.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:050.00–0.00
Montour–Mahura0:490.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndBeniers FSchwartz FKakko FTolvanen FBjorkstrand FStephenson FMcCann FBurakovsky FWright FStephens FKartye FTanev FLarsson DDunn DOleksiak DMontour DMahura DFleury DDaccord GRaymond FLarkin FKasper FCopp FDeBrincat FTarasenko FKane FSoderblom FRasmussen FVeleno FBerggren FShine FChiarot DSeider DEdvinsson DJohansson DGustafsson DHoll DTalbot G
SEADETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Vince DunnSEA2928:080:582:0913
Adam LarssonSEA2727:041:001:3906
Moritz SeiderDET3126:380:521:2374
Brandon MontourSEA2422:480:571:2735
Simon EdvinssonDET2722:400:502:0122
Dylan LarkinDET2722:350:501:2523
Lucas RaymondDET2621:520:501:4341
Chandler StephensonSEA2721:310:481:2336
Matty BeniersSEA2621:100:491:3951
Ben ChiarotDET2720:530:461:1735
Patrick KaneDET2519:580:481:2972
Kaapo KakkoSEA2619:560:461:1651
Jaden SchwartzSEA2619:160:441:0361
Albert JohanssonDET2519:090:462:0122
Marco KasperDET2319:030:501:2101
Alex DeBrincatDET2618:530:441:3553
Jamie OleksiakSEA2318:240:481:2729
Andrew CoppDET2517:550:431:0744
Erik GustafssonDET2317:240:451:2820
Eeli TolvanenSEA1916:370:522:0124
Jared McCannSEA2416:260:411:1714
Vladimir TarasenkoDET2616:100:371:0343
Andre BurakovskySEA2015:350:471:3214
Michael RasmussenDET2315:180:401:2763
Shane WrightSEA2214:560:411:1704
Josh MahuraSEA1713:510:491:3112
Elmer SoderblomDET2013:460:411:2553
Brandon TanevSEA2113:370:391:03210
Justin HollDET1713:040:461:2510
Cale FleurySEA1812:510:431:1312
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA1411:400:501:2722
Joseph VelenoDET1510:150:411:1721
Jonatan BerggrenDET149:290:411:0530
Dominik ShineDET138:360:401:0330
Mitchell StephensSEA148:340:370:5626
Tye KartyeSEA107:060:431:2222