Fri, Mar 7, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Detroit Red Wings 2, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.
59%
10%
8%
24%
WSH winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:06 | 0.16 | 19.9% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:12 | 0.05 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:39 | 0.02 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.05 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.02 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.12 | 46.8% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:09 | 0.12 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:12 | 0.26 | 53.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 17:08 | 0.03 | 17.5% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.04 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.49 | 33.7% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:21 | 0.03 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:56 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.20 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.11 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.07 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.05 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.08 | 43.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.84 | −2.2 | 59:54 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:41 | 0.01 | 47.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:23 | 0.00 | 51.2% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:56 | 0.12 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:07 | 0.22 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 18:48 | 0.22 | 47.5% | +32.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.07 | 74.1% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:53 | 0.04 | 31.1% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:42 | 0.04 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.15 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.44 | 55.8% | +45.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 53.8% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:25 | 0.23 | 53.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:54 | 0.10 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.14 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.17 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 90.1% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:31 | 0.11 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 11:19 | 0.78 | 83.7% | +14.6 |
| W | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 1.91 | −0.1 | 60:00 |