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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 7, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Detroit Red Wings 2, Washington Capitals 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 68% of the time.

WSH winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kane–DeBrincat–KasperTarasenko–Compher–BerggrenLarkin–Soderblom–RaymondMotte–Shine–RasmussenChiarot–SeiderHoll–GustafssonJohansson–EdvinssonChiarot–GustafssonChiarot–JohanssonHoll–JohanssonSeider–JohanssonHoll–SeiderGustafsson–Edvinsson
Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome2:560.13–0.081:300.03–0.003:010.05–0.002:210.09–0.012:060.03–0.002:140.10–0.070:530.02–0.000:460.00–0.00
Dowd–Duhaime–Frank1:200.00–0.002:020.11–0.011:470.01–0.092:270.15–0.002:200.11–0.000:490.00–0.002:340.16–0.090:300.00–0.000:440.00–0.010:420.00–0.00
Eller–Mangiapane–Raddysh2:570.05–0.053:280.04–0.070:310.78–0.000:370.00–0.001:360.81–0.004:360.06–0.071:320.00–0.05
Dubois–McMichael–Protas1:410.19–0.014:050.27–0.140:320.07–0.002:260.20–0.102:230.19–0.122:280.14–0.00
Ovechkin–Strome–Protas1:040.00–0.193:010.00–0.020:440.00–0.001:140.00–0.022:120.00–0.19
Wilson–Dubois–McMichael1:140.00–0.002:050.25–0.032:530.25–0.030:310.00–0.050:460.00–0.00
Wilson–Strome–McMichael0:320.00–0.310:430.00–0.31
Eller–Mangiapane–Frank0:470.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin5:130.07–0.181:020.00–0.313:380.86–0.131:210.01–0.084:510.81–0.183:150.05–0.314:110.08–0.610:540.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun1:220.00–0.016:110.04–0.070:540.23–0.003:000.01–0.003:020.25–0.006:240.03–0.082:020.04–0.000:550.00–0.00
Roy–Fehérváry2:240.12–0.081:170.19–0.003:180.11–0.032:250.15–0.003:460.21–0.041:340.07–0.004:180.30–0.070:310.00–0.00
Roy–Sandin1:530.00–0.061:070.00–0.000:380.11–0.001:140.11–0.000:320.00–0.001:350.00–0.06
Carlson–Fehérváry0:540.02–0.001:300.01–0.001:010.11–0.000:310.00–0.050:390.00–0.000:460.02–0.00
Roy–Chychrun0:420.00–0.020:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry1:150.00–0.010:440.00–0.01
Carlson–Chychrun0:370.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin0:480.00–0.000:570.11–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcMichael FWilson FDubois FOvechkin FStrome FProtas FRaddysh FMangiapane FEller FDuhaime FFrank FDowd FRoy DFehérváry DSandin DCarlson Dvan Riemsdyk DChychrun DThompson GRaymond FLarkin FSoderblom FKane FKasper FDeBrincat FCompher FBerggren FTarasenko FMotte FShine FRasmussen FChiarot DSeider DJohansson DEdvinsson DHoll DGustafsson DTalbot G
WSHDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2523:060:551:4234
John CarlsonWSH2122:411:052:0916
Rasmus SandinWSH1920:231:042:3515
Ben ChiarotDET2420:120:511:1323
Matt RoyWSH2119:560:571:3031
Erik GustafssonDET2119:390:562:1033
Albert JohanssonDET2219:270:531:1623
Martin FehérváryWSH2119:070:551:5332
Tom WilsonWSH2318:480:492:2971
Justin HollDET2018:350:562:0622
Jakob ChychrunWSH1918:110:571:4952
Patrick KaneDET2118:090:521:1151
Alex DeBrincatDET2218:090:501:1161
Dylan StromeWSH2117:530:512:3060
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2017:420:531:5052
J.T. CompherDET2017:120:521:4815
Dylan LarkinDET2017:080:511:3334
Jonatan BerggrenDET1817:000:572:0112
Alex OvechkinWSH1916:590:543:3050
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2316:420:441:1143
Lucas RaymondDET1916:280:521:4534
Marco KasperDET1916:210:521:2521
Simon EdvinssonDET1815:560:531:2922
Connor McMichaelWSH2015:400:471:4254
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH2015:250:461:2352
Nic DowdWSH2014:540:451:2208
Vladimir TarasenkoDET1814:510:502:0212
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2113:210:381:3807
Elmer SoderblomDET1813:150:441:0423
Lars EllerWSH1812:360:421:1112
Andrew MangiapaneWSH1712:160:431:1032
Ethen FrankWSH1511:310:461:1914
Tyler MotteDET1611:300:431:0612
Taylor RaddyshWSH1711:190:401:0722
Michael RasmussenDET1811:000:371:0524
Dominik ShineDET1510:080:411:3522