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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 8, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Boston Bruins 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pastrnak–Zacha–GeekieLettieri–Mittelstadt–KoepkeLindholm–Lauko–KhusnutdinovBrown–Kastelic–BeecherPastrnak–Geekie–MittelstadtZadorov–JokiharjuPeeke–LohreiWotherspoon–MitchellWotherspoon–PeekeMitchell–LohreiJokiharju–LohreiWotherspoon–Lohrei
Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel5:270.55–0.440:470.00–0.020:340.00–0.002:460.00–0.302:160.48–0.001:020.00–0.000:300.02–0.00
Paul–Cirelli–Hagel2:520.00–0.051:490.12–0.151:080.07–0.010:310.00–0.002:140.07–0.041:220.00–0.012:590.12–0.15
Glendening–Girgensons–Chaffee0:310.00–0.000:410.00–0.002:480.00–0.141:080.00–0.002:320.00–0.002:080.01–0.061:130.00–0.08
Guentzel–Bjorkstrand–Point3:070.07–0.000:360.00–0.000:340.00–0.002:340.05–0.000:570.01–0.00
Gourde–Paul–Goncalves0:410.01–0.001:290.00–0.251:570.00–0.251:290.05–0.00
Gourde–Guentzel–Point1:260.00–0.072:100.00–0.001:160.00–0.012:080.00–0.06
Gourde–Bjorkstrand–Goncalves0:480.00–0.012:030.00–0.140:520.00–0.022:240.00–0.12
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:350.00–0.071:370.00–0.061:090.00–0.080:360.00–0.010:370.00–0.05
Bjorkstrand–Paul–Goncalves0:460.02–0.201:060.15–0.000:570.16–0.200:370.02–0.00
Raddysh–Moser4:090.04–0.122:540.00–0.161:550.00–0.064:240.00–0.142:040.08–0.121:430.03–0.011:170.01–0.000:340.00–0.05
Perbix–Lilleberg0:330.03–0.003:460.07–0.202:290.07–0.031:460.00–0.002:310.07–0.032:350.01–0.004:040.05–0.201:000.02–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak8:570.48–0.420:570.13–0.233:520.00–0.584:010.44–0.001:300.16–0.00
Cernak–Moser1:050.00–0.000:450.00–0.081:210.00–0.000:580.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:410.05–0.080:450.00–0.11
McDonagh–Raddysh1:180.00–0.170:340.14–0.000:480.14–0.000:550.00–0.15
Raddysh–Lilleberg0:300.10–0.000:410.00–0.121:150.00–0.081:190.00–0.080:430.00–0.120:540.10–0.00
McDonagh–Perbix1:250.03–0.000:500.03–0.001:120.00–0.01
Perbix–Moser0:410.00–0.010:350.00–0.010:510.00–0.00
Moser–Lilleberg0:580.00–0.011:060.00–0.01
Cernak–Lilleberg0:370.00–0.000:560.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FHagel FCirelli FKucherov FGourde FBjorkstrand FGoncalves FChaffee FGlendening FGirgensons FPoint FGuentzel FMcDonagh DCernak DMoser DRaddysh DLilleberg DPerbix DVasilevskiy GZacha FGeekie FPastrnak FLindholm FKhusnutdinov FLauko FKoepke FMittelstadt FLettieri FBeecher FKastelic FBrown FLohrei DPeeke DZadorov DJokiharju DWotherspoon DMitchell DSwayman G
TBLBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mason LohreiBOS2623:540:551:4414
Andrew PeekeBOS2521:480:521:5316
Darren RaddyshTBL2121:261:012:2161
Ryan McDonaghTBL2420:540:521:4316
J.J. MoserTBL2420:450:521:3133
Nikita ZadorovBOS2420:310:511:4327
Anthony CirelliTBL2020:041:002:0444
Brandon HagelTBL2020:001:002:1844
Parker WotherspoonBOS2119:030:541:4531
David PastrnakBOS2118:500:541:3750
Henri JokiharjuBOS2418:380:471:2225
Morgan GeekieBOS2018:290:551:3540
Jake GuentzelTBL1818:141:011:3641
Emil LillebergTBL2218:120:501:2982
Erik CernakTBL2418:110:451:1705
Brayden PointTBL1718:101:041:3651
Nick PaulTBL2118:080:521:4725
Casey MittelstadtBOS1917:550:571:3421
Nikita KucherovTBL2017:160:521:4051
Elias LindholmBOS2316:130:421:0835
Nick PerbixTBL1916:090:511:1733
Pavel ZachaBOS1915:430:501:2843
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1615:400:592:0312
Yanni GourdeTBL2015:160:461:2943
Ian MitchellBOS1914:460:471:3021
Cole KoepkeBOS1814:220:481:3111
Vinni LettieriBOS1814:060:471:3011
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS1713:150:471:1340
Patrick BrownBOS2012:390:381:23012
Jakub LaukoBOS1812:240:411:0941
John BeecherBOS2212:070:331:04011
Gage GoncalvesTBL1811:340:391:0822
Mark KastelicBOS1811:170:381:17010
Luke GlendeningTBL2011:130:341:1255
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL128:440:441:1240
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL148:410:371:0051