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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 4, 2025·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Carolina Hurricanes 3, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 70% of the time.

DET winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Jarvis–BlakeMartinook–Kotkaniemi–StankovenHall–Jankowski–RoslovicJankowski–Jost–RobidasHall–Roslovic–RobinsonJost–Robinson–RobidasBurns–SlavinGostisbehere–MorrowChatfield–WalkerGostisbehere–ChatfieldSlavin–ChatfieldBurns–Walker
Tarasenko–Compher–Berggren1:020.00–0.075:580.12–0.241:170.01–0.091:010.07–0.031:100.00–0.012:100.00–0.106:590.20–0.291:040.00–0.040:360.00–0.00
Soderblom–Raymond–Kasper8:520.55–0.270:350.00–0.000:370.09–0.005:030.30–0.271:420.00–0.042:130.24–0.000:570.10–0.001:000.00–0.00
Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat1:200.05–0.012:310.27–0.020:460.00–0.000:300.00–0.004:010.47–0.202:040.07–0.021:250.11–0.000:410.15–0.000:590.00–0.00
Smith–Motte–Rasmussen0:420.00–0.022:000.03–0.001:330.17–0.090:560.00–0.100:420.03–0.003:080.00–0.02
Smith–Motte–Berggren0:310.00–0.001:200.14–0.000:310.00–0.00
Larkin–Soderblom–Raymond0:470.00–0.060:500.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider5:430.36–0.132:560.05–0.043:180.11–0.040:560.00–0.006:110.42–0.052:490.07–0.244:490.24–0.021:350.11–0.000:520.15–0.001:030.00–0.00
Petry–Edvinsson5:400.19–0.355:000.12–0.230:440.00–0.010:340.00–0.001:570.09–0.010:390.17–0.044:470.18–0.296:400.12–0.311:430.00–0.021:140.10–0.000:510.00–0.00
Holl–Johansson0:390.06–0.200:420.00–0.002:150.23–0.092:430.03–0.030:440.00–0.001:090.00–0.092:540.16–0.332:250.10–0.033:000.07–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTarasenko FCompher FBerggren FRaymond FSoderblom FKasper FKane FLarkin FDeBrincat FMotte FSmith FRasmussen FPetry DEdvinsson DChiarot DSeider DHoll DJohansson DTalbot GStankoven FMartinook FKotkaniemi FAho FJarvis FBlake FRoslovic FHall FJost FRobidas FJankowski FRobinson FChatfield DWalker DBurns DSlavin DGostisbehere DMorrow DKochetkov G
DETCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Moritz SeiderDET2725:380:571:5835
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2323:511:022:1350
Ben ChiarotDET2723:410:531:4025
Brent BurnsCAR2522:470:552:0134
Simon EdvinssonDET2722:420:501:5323
Seth JarvisCAR1921:581:092:0872
Sebastian AhoCAR1921:341:082:0772
Jaccob SlavinCAR2620:450:481:5414
Lucas RaymondDET2120:010:571:4633
Jackson BlakeCAR1719:481:102:0872
Jeff PetryDET2419:340:491:3622
J.T. CompherDET2218:470:511:4422
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2718:430:421:2523
Dylan LarkinDET2417:390:441:4624
Taylor HallCAR1817:130:572:4820
Marco KasperDET2116:280:471:1932
Sean WalkerCAR2616:260:381:3933
Patrick KaneDET2116:080:461:4721
Elmer SoderblomDET1815:570:531:2732
Logan StankovenCAR1815:430:521:5221
Mark JankowskiCAR2015:170:461:2713
Jonatan BerggrenDET1615:120:572:0211
Jack RoslovicCAR1915:050:481:3030
Scott MorrowCAR1414:561:042:0320
Alex DeBrincatDET2114:550:432:0322
Vladimir TarasenkoDET1814:500:491:4621
Jordan MartinookCAR2114:380:421:4922
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1612:500:481:5131
Albert JohanssonDET1712:430:451:3601
Justin HollDET1712:250:441:3612
Michael RasmussenDET1611:000:411:2123
Tyler MotteDET1610:530:411:2913
Eric RobinsonCAR159:290:381:2330
Tyson JostCAR138:500:411:2431
Justin RobidasCAR148:140:351:1331
Craig SmithDET117:580:431:1612