Wed, Oct 8, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
9%
35%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah DobsonD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:56 | 0.02 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:32 | 0.03 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Lane HutsonD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:03 | 0.22 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.40 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Kaiden GuhleD · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Cole CaufieldRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 20:23 | 0.66 | 72.4% | 0.0 |
 Juraj SlafkovskýLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 19:42 | 0.79 | 73.0% | 0.0 |
 Alexandre CarrierD · #45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.00 | 34.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex NewhookC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:15 | 0.09 | 26.9% | 0.0 |
 Jake EvansC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:19 | 0.05 | 53.7% | 0.0 |
 Zachary BolducRW · #76 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:34 | 0.37 | 48.5% | +16.8 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 13:32 | 0.06 | 45.2% | +16.8 |
 Ivan DemidovRW · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.14 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
 Oliver KapanenC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.07 | 28.2% | +13.5 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.13 | 42.4% | 0.0 |
 Patrik LaineLW · #92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.05 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Kirby DachC · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 11:47 | 0.17 | 35.1% | +16.8 |
 Arber XhekajD · #72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.04 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Samuel Montembeault#35 | L | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 1.97 | −1.0 | 58:33 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:05 | 0.08 | 20.9% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:03 | 0.03 | 17.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:47 | 0.45 | 74.1% | +53.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:31 | 0.83 | 30.2% | +5.8 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.29 | 34.0% | +36.6 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.85 | 60.8% | +17.4 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.23 | 65.5% | +11.5 |
 Brandon CarloD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.05 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.09 | 83.0% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:54 | 0.19 | 51.0% | +11.4 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.02 | 47.6% | 0.0 |
 Matias MaccelliLW · #63 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.00 | 41.0% | +36.6 |
 Nicolas RoyC · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 12:52 | 0.21 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Dakota JoshuaC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 65.4% | 0.0 |
 Steven LorentzC · #18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:09 | 0.00 | 39.1% | +17.4 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:10 | 0.12 | 34.9% | +17.3 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 10:40 | 0.18 | 61.5% | 0.0 |
 Anthony Stolarz#41 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 3.28 | +1.3 | 59:42 |