Wed, Oct 8, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
47%
9%
9%
35%
TOR winsMTL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Suzuki–Caufield–Slafkovský | Newhook–Kapanen–Demidov | Gallagher–Dach–Bolduc | Anderson–Evans–Laine | Matheson–Dobson | Guhle–Hutson | Carrier–Xhekaj | Carrier–Guhle | Xhekaj–Hutson | Matheson–Carrier | Carrier–Hutson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Nylander–McMann | 1:210.11–0.08 | 3:240.19–0.15 | 1:490.15–0.00 | 2:340.00–0.05 | 3:500.03–0.29 | 4:170.37–0.01 | 1:490.17–0.01 | ||||
| Matthews–Maccelli–Knies | 5:170.43–0.16 | 1:410.00–0.00 | 1:460.12–0.04 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 5:310.21–0.27 | 3:320.00–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||
| Jarnkrok–Roy–Lorentz | 3:310.00–0.27 | 0:350.20–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.04 | 1:470.00–0.21 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 1:450.20–0.00 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.09 | |||
| Domi–Joshua–Robertson | 2:500.15–0.01 | 2:290.01–0.18 | 1:030.16–0.00 | 2:090.18–0.00 | 2:340.17–0.01 | 1:210.00–0.18 | |||||
| Domi–Matthews–Knies | 0:450.00–0.38 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.38 | ||||||||
| Tanev–McCabe | 8:230.18–0.87 | 3:090.03–0.17 | 1:000.05–0.02 | 1:560.00–0.04 | 6:330.11–1.02 | 4:480.11–0.08 | 1:250.00–0.03 | 0:510.05–0.03 | 1:460.00–0.10 | 0:440.00–0.02 | |
| Rielly–Carlo | 2:430.34–0.17 | 4:220.26–0.01 | 2:550.26–0.17 | 1:530.00–0.00 | 5:230.11–0.14 | 2:150.21–0.00 | 1:570.20–0.00 | 2:170.09–0.15 | |||
| Ekman-Larsson–Benoit | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:300.11–0.00 | 3:220.12–0.01 | 2:530.00–0.05 | 3:000.30–0.05 | 3:140.05–0.00 | 2:100.00–0.01 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:320.17–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Carlo–Benoit | 0:300.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Benoit | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Carlo | 0:380.00–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 32 | 24:05 | 0:45 | 1:46 | 1 | 5 | |
| 31 | 23:03 | 0:45 | 2:13 | 2 | 4 | |
| 25 | 22:56 | 0:55 | 2:13 | 3 | 4 | |
| 25 | 22:32 | 0:54 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 | |
| 21 | 21:03 | 1:00 | 1:48 | 3 | 0 | |
| 30 | 20:47 | 0:42 | 1:56 | 8 | 3 | |
| 20 | 20:42 | 1:02 | 2:06 | 2 | 1 | |
| 22 | 20:40 | 0:56 | 2:06 | 0 | 3 | |
| 27 | 20:31 | 0:46 | 2:00 | 7 | 3 | |
| 20 | 20:23 | 1:01 | 2:05 | 4 | 1 | |
| 20 | 19:42 | 0:59 | 1:59 | 3 | 1 | |
| 26 | 19:30 | 0:45 | 2:07 | 7 | 2 | |
| 24 | 18:40 | 0:47 | 2:27 | 5 | 1 | |
| 23 | 17:33 | 0:46 | 2:16 | 5 | 1 | |
| 28 | 17:27 | 0:37 | 1:41 | 5 | 3 | |
| 21 | 17:24 | 0:50 | 1:52 | 0 | 3 | |
| 25 | 15:58 | 0:38 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 15:54 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 | |
| 25 | 15:21 | 0:37 | 1:08 | 2 | 3 | |
| 21 | 15:15 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 | |
| 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 2:01 | 4 | 0 | |
| 18 | 14:19 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 | |
| 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:49 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 | 13:34 | 0:45 | 2:23 | 2 | 4 | |
| 20 | 13:32 | 0:41 | 1:30 | 2 | 5 | |
| 20 | 13:21 | 0:40 | 1:08 | 5 | 2 | |
| 20 | 13:19 | 0:40 | 1:18 | 5 | 2 | |
| 17 | 12:59 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 1 | 3 | |
| 18 | 12:52 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 1 | 5 | |
| 17 | 12:51 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 | |
| 17 | 12:18 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 1 | 3 | |
| 15 | 12:09 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 | 11:47 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 2 | 3 | |
| 17 | 11:10 | 0:39 | 1:16 | 0 | 2 | |
| 14 | 11:08 | 0:48 | 1:07 | 2 | 0 | |
| 16 | 10:40 | 0:40 | 1:16 | 1 | 3 |