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Ice Lab

Wed, Oct 8, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Suzuki–Caufield–SlafkovskýNewhook–Kapanen–DemidovGallagher–Dach–BolducAnderson–Evans–LaineMatheson–DobsonGuhle–HutsonCarrier–XhekajCarrier–GuhleXhekaj–HutsonMatheson–CarrierCarrier–Hutson
Tavares–Nylander–McMann1:210.11–0.083:240.19–0.151:490.15–0.002:340.00–0.053:500.03–0.294:170.37–0.011:490.17–0.01
Matthews–Maccelli–Knies5:170.43–0.161:410.00–0.001:460.12–0.040:400.00–0.005:310.21–0.273:320.00–0.080:420.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Roy–Lorentz3:310.00–0.270:350.20–0.002:550.00–0.041:470.00–0.211:200.00–0.001:450.20–0.000:530.01–0.001:420.00–0.09
Domi–Joshua–Robertson2:500.15–0.012:290.01–0.181:030.16–0.002:090.18–0.002:340.17–0.011:210.00–0.18
Domi–Matthews–Knies0:450.00–0.380:350.02–0.001:250.00–0.38
Tanev–McCabe8:230.18–0.873:090.03–0.171:000.05–0.021:560.00–0.046:330.11–1.024:480.11–0.081:250.00–0.030:510.05–0.031:460.00–0.100:440.00–0.02
Rielly–Carlo2:430.34–0.174:220.26–0.012:550.26–0.171:530.00–0.005:230.11–0.142:150.21–0.001:570.20–0.002:170.09–0.15
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit0:320.00–0.001:300.11–0.003:220.12–0.012:530.00–0.053:000.30–0.053:140.05–0.002:100.00–0.010:320.00–0.001:150.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly0:320.17–0.000:400.00–0.00
Carlo–Benoit0:300.00–0.01
Rielly–Benoit0:310.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Carlo0:380.00–0.050:340.00–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKnies FMatthews FMaccelli FNylander FTavares FMcMann FDomi FJoshua FRobertson FLorentz FJarnkrok FRoy FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DCarlo DBenoit DEkman-Larsson DStolarz GCaufield FSuzuki FSlafkovský FNewhook FDemidov FKapanen FGallagher FBolduc FDach FAnderson FEvans FLaine FMatheson DDobson DHutson DGuhle DCarrier DXhekaj DMontembeault G
TORMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake McCabeTOR3224:050:451:4615
Chris TanevTOR3123:030:452:1324
Noah DobsonMTL2522:560:552:1334
Mike MathesonMTL2522:320:541:3924
Lane HutsonMTL2121:031:001:4830
Morgan RiellyTOR3020:470:421:5683
Nick SuzukiMTL2020:421:022:0621
Kaiden GuhleMTL2220:400:562:0603
Auston MatthewsTOR2720:310:462:0073
Cole CaufieldMTL2020:231:012:0541
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL2019:420:591:5931
Matthew KniesTOR2619:300:452:0772
William NylanderTOR2418:400:472:2751
John TavaresTOR2317:330:462:1651
Brandon CarloTOR2817:270:371:4153
Alexandre CarrierMTL2117:240:501:5203
Simon BenoitTOR2515:580:381:3322
Bobby McMannTOR2115:540:451:2851
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2515:210:371:0823
Alex NewhookMTL2115:150:441:1752
Matias MaccelliTOR1914:370:462:0140
Jake EvansMTL1814:190:481:2513
Nicolas RoyTOR1713:430:481:4903
Zachary BolducMTL1813:340:452:2324
Brendan GallagherMTL2013:320:411:3025
Ivan DemidovMTL2013:210:401:0852
Oliver KapanenMTL2013:190:401:1852
Josh AndersonMTL1712:590:461:1713
Max DomiTOR1812:520:431:2615
Patrik LaineMTL1712:510:451:2521
Dakota JoshuaTOR1712:180:431:4813
Steven LorentzTOR1512:090:491:1803
Kirby DachMTL1811:470:391:0423
Calle JarnkrokTOR1711:100:391:1602
Arber XhekajMTL1411:080:481:0720
Nick RobertsonTOR1610:400:401:1613