Wed, Oct 8, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Boston Bruins 3, Washington Capitals 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 76% of the time.
69%
17%
WSH winsBOS wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Lindholm–Pastrnak–Geekie | Arvidsson–Zacha–Mittelstadt | Kuraly–Kastelic–Khusnutdinov | Eyssimont–Jeannot–Minten | Zadorov–Jokiharju | McAvoy–Lohrei | Lindholm–Peeke | Jokiharju–Lohrei | Lindholm–McAvoy | Zadorov–Peeke | Zadorov–Lohrei | Lindholm–Jokiharju | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Dubois–Protas | 1:450.04–0.02 | 0:380.19–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:200.00–0.09 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 2:550.06–0.00 | 0:490.19–0.00 | |||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–Sourdif | 2:220.00–0.08 | 1:070.00–0.05 | 1:020.01–0.01 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.01 | 0:510.01–0.07 | 0:480.00–0.05 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Protas | 1:060.06–0.10 | 1:290.00–0.01 | 2:180.27–0.09 | 0:510.06–0.00 | 3:440.27–0.10 | |||||||
| Wilson–Dubois–McMichael | 2:390.15–0.03 | 1:040.00–0.09 | 0:520.00–0.03 | 1:570.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Beauvillier–Lapierre–Leonard | 0:490.00–0.03 | 1:200.00–0.22 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:580.12–0.01 | 2:130.12–0.19 | 0:400.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.01 | |||||
| Beauvillier–Sourdif–Lapierre | 1:180.31–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.01 | 0:360.00–0.16 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.16 | 0:440.30–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||
| Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.13 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.13 | 1:390.09–0.01 | |||||||
| Dowd–Duhaime–Leonard | 1:170.01–0.01 | 1:580.08–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Wilson–Beauvillier–Lapierre | 0:500.33–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:450.33–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Dubois–McMichael–Protas | 0:500.04–0.00 | 0:500.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 6:320.61–0.09 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 2:110.00–0.09 | 3:300.19–0.00 | 1:290.09–0.01 | 1:090.35–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||
| van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | 5:040.01–0.26 | 3:010.21–0.14 | 1:150.00–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.13 | 3:550.22–0.18 | 1:020.00–0.10 | ||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 2:480.00–0.07 | 2:370.01–0.17 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:090.18–0.09 | 4:060.13–0.10 | 2:040.06–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.14 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 1:090.00–0.02 | 1:230.25–0.02 | 1:120.03–0.00 | 1:130.04–0.09 | 1:370.04–0.02 | 1:190.00–0.02 | 1:450.25–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 1:180.30–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.15 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:490.07–0.09 | 1:030.30–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 0:320.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 27 | 26:39 | 0:59 | 2:37 | 4 | 3 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 25 | 24:46 | 0:59 | 2:35 | 8 | 1 |
 Charlie McAvoyBOS | 28 | 22:31 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 2 | 4 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 27 | 22:15 | 0:49 | 2:19 | 6 | 3 |
 Nikita ZadorovBOS | 25 | 21:59 | 0:53 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Hampus LindholmBOS | 28 | 20:01 | 0:43 | 1:27 | 1 | 10 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 24 | 19:17 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 9 | 1 |
 Andrew PeekeBOS | 25 | 18:59 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 2 | 10 |
 Henri JokiharjuBOS | 23 | 18:40 | 0:49 | 1:56 | 1 | 0 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 23 | 18:27 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 0 | 5 |
 David PastrnakBOS | 22 | 18:18 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 4 | 0 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 18:16 | 0:52 | 2:08 | 9 | 0 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 21 | 18:12 | 0:52 | 2:24 | 10 | 1 |
 Elias LindholmBOS | 23 | 18:07 | 0:47 | 1:08 | 4 | 2 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 24 | 18:05 | 0:45 | 2:03 | 5 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 17:35 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 1 | 5 |
 Morgan GeekieBOS | 21 | 17:07 | 0:49 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Pavel ZachaBOS | 25 | 16:54 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 4 | 5 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 22 | 16:36 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 5 | 2 |
 Mason LohreiBOS | 21 | 16:34 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 1 | 1 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 22 | 15:35 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 7 | 1 |
 Fraser MintenBOS | 19 | 14:36 | 0:46 | 1:14 | 3 | 6 |
 Sean KuralyBOS | 22 | 14:34 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 1 | 7 |
 Tanner JeannotBOS | 17 | 13:52 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 3 | 4 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 17 | 13:14 | 0:47 | 1:07 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 16 | 13:13 | 0:50 | 1:36 | 3 | 2 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 18 | 12:32 | 0:42 | 1:43 | 1 | 2 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 17 | 12:22 | 0:44 | 1:03 | 0 | 7 |
 Mark KastelicBOS | 19 | 12:08 | 0:38 | 1:10 | 1 | 6 |
 Casey MittelstadtBOS | 16 | 12:06 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 1 | 2 |
 Viktor ArvidssonBOS | 17 | 11:50 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 15 | 10:58 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 5 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 14 | 10:56 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Michael EyssimontBOS | 14 | 10:55 | 0:47 | 1:19 | 3 | 3 |
 Marat KhusnutdinovBOS | 16 | 10:49 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 16 | 10:12 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 0 | 5 |