Wed, Oct 8, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Calgary Flames 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 67% of the time.
58%
9%
9%
24%
EDM winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 26:20 | 0.06 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 26:01 | 0.01 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 24:42 | 0.03 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.25 | 24.6% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.12 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:38 | 0.02 | 18.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:46 | 0.32 | 25.9% | +6.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.17 | 27.0% | +30.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.32 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 15:25 | 0.22 | 41.4% | +6.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.86 | 30.9% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.01 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:47 | 0.00 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.03 | 30.5% | +13.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:18 | 0.00 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:12 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 3.39 | +0.4 | 64:25 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 28:42 | 0.51 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 26:21 | 0.53 | 88.4% | +26.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 24:40 | 0.84 | 91.5% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:45 | 0.06 | 85.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.03 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 18:56 | 0.50 | 22.3% | +33.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:46 | 0.00 | 84.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:28 | 0.02 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.02 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.16 | 43.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:26 | 0.06 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:20 | 0.26 | 96.8% | +6.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.04 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 20.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.03 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.20 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.13 | 72.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.43 | −0.6 | 65:00 |