Fri, Oct 17, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Minnesota Wild 1, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 88% of the time.
83%
WSH winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 24:12 | 0.01 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:47 | 0.02 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.02 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:15 | 0.08 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:59 | 0.16 | 14.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:24 | 0.36 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.13 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.08 | 14.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:41 | 0.00 | 34.0% | +28.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.08 | 44.6% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.08 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:08 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:51 | 0.11 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:36 | 0.13 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 9:06 | 0.11 | 27.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 45 | 40 | 5 | .889 | 4.29 | −0.7 | 59:53 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:10 | 0.58 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | 0.37 | 82.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 49.2% | +28.7 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 6 | 17:52 | 0.63 | 81.0% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.02 | 79.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16:52 | 0.37 | 86.9% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.19 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 16:38 | 0.26 | 93.6% | +21.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 16:33 | 0.26 | 98.3% | +32.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.31 | 71.4% | +28.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.09 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 46.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:54 | 0.45 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:31 | 0.36 | 84.2% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.20 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:58 | 0.00 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.15 | 98.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.04 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 14 | 13 | 1 | .929 | 1.58 | +0.6 | 59:51 |