Fri, Oct 17, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Minnesota Wild 1, Washington Capitals 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 88% of the time.
83%
WSH winsMIN wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Foligno–Hartman–Trenin | Hinostroza–Ohgren–Yurov | Kaprizov–Boldy–Rossi | Johansson–Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov | Tarasenko–Boldy–Rossi | Johansson–Tarasenko–Eriksson Ek | Eriksson Ek–Kaprizov–Boldy | Tarasenko–Hartman–Kaprizov | Trenin–Ohgren–Yurov | Johansson–Boldy–Rossi | Johansson–Tarasenko–Rossi | Brodin–Faber | Spurgeon–Middleton | Bogosian–Buium | Faber–Buium | Spurgeon–Brodin | Middleton–Buium | Spurgeon–Buium | Bogosian–Middleton | Brodin–Buium | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dowd–Duhaime–Sourdif | 1:310.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.10 | 1:270.20–0.05 | 0:530.01–0.00 | 1:280.07–0.00 | 0:550.19–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.22 | 2:190.00–0.27 | 1:570.04–0.00 | 2:140.08–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:550.19–0.00 | 0:400.20–0.00 | |||||||
| Milano–Lapierre–Leonard | 1:500.15–0.00 | 3:320.24–0.31 | 0:490.07–0.10 | 1:090.10–0.02 | 1:360.00–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:000.14–0.10 | 2:000.35–0.18 | 1:160.00–0.14 | |||||||||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 2:170.08–0.01 | 1:160.19–0.00 | 1:430.25–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 4:110.64–0.02 | 2:000.43–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Wilson–McMichael–Protas | 2:440.03–0.00 | 2:060.11–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:320.07–0.00 | 2:100.01–0.00 | 2:170.24–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Dowd–Protas–Leonard | 0:470.00–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.08 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Beauvillier–Lapierre–Leonard | 0:390.00–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Chychrun–Chisholm | 3:400.39–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.31 | 1:070.07–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.19 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.00 | 3:000.00–0.19 | 2:140.20–0.00 | 1:370.12–0.18 | 1:540.00–0.14 | 0:580.15–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Roy–Sandin | 2:170.01–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.01 | 1:150.00–0.10 | 1:590.00–0.05 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 5:050.08–0.06 | 2:350.00–0.01 | 1:230.00–0.10 | |||||||||||
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 2:020.25–0.00 | 1:560.03–0.02 | 2:240.11–0.00 | 1:220.39–0.01 | 2:530.02–0.00 | 1:090.13–0.00 | 1:280.24–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:460.00–0.08 | 0:380.25–0.00 | 0:330.07–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.08 | 1:020.00–0.22 | 2:240.25–0.22 | 0:590.25–0.00 | 0:480.07–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Roy–Fehérváry | 1:200.35–0.00 | 1:070.05–0.02 | 0:590.22–0.00 | 0:570.19–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Chychrun–Sandin | 1:080.00–0.08 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.08 | |||||||||||||||||
| Fehérváry–Chisholm | 0:590.07–0.10 | 1:070.07–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Brock FaberMIN | 28 | 24:12 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 1 | 6 |
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 22 | 24:10 | 1:06 | 2:06 | 4 | 0 |
 Jonas BrodinMIN | 27 | 21:47 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 23 | 21:23 | 0:56 | 1:35 | 5 | 3 |
 Jared SpurgeonMIN | 26 | 21:00 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 1 | 5 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 23 | 20:57 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 2 | 1 |
 Zeev BuiumMIN | 20 | 20:15 | 1:01 | 1:45 | 3 | 2 |
 Kirill KaprizovMIN | 15 | 18:59 | 1:16 | 2:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt BoldyMIN | 17 | 18:16 | 1:04 | 2:14 | 4 | 2 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 25 | 17:52 | 0:43 | 1:48 | 7 | 0 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 20 | 17:30 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 1 | 1 |
 Marco RossiMIN | 19 | 17:24 | 0:55 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 22 | 16:52 | 0:46 | 1:46 | 7 | 3 |
 Joel Eriksson EkMIN | 21 | 16:51 | 0:48 | 1:32 | 4 | 7 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 22 | 16:47 | 0:46 | 1:39 | 2 | 4 |
 Ryan HartmanMIN | 19 | 16:46 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 0 | 2 |
 Jake MiddletonMIN | 23 | 16:41 | 0:44 | 1:20 | 2 | 4 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 19 | 16:38 | 0:53 | 1:57 | 2 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 21 | 16:33 | 0:47 | 1:58 | 7 | 0 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 21 | 16:28 | 0:47 | 1:41 | 4 | 2 |
 Marcus JohanssonMIN | 19 | 16:03 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 1 | 3 |
 Ryan LeonardWSH | 18 | 16:00 | 0:53 | 1:45 | 1 | 0 |
 Yakov TreninMIN | 17 | 15:28 | 0:55 | 1:57 | 0 | 2 |
 Declan ChisholmWSH | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 1:47 | 2 | 2 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 17 | 14:54 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 5 | 1 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 21 | 14:31 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoMIN | 15 | 14:18 | 0:57 | 1:52 | 1 | 3 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 20 | 14:02 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 4 |
 Marcus FolignoMIN | 17 | 13:08 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 0 | 5 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 17 | 12:58 | 0:46 | 1:32 | 2 | 2 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 12:32 | 0:38 | 1:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Zach BogosianMIN | 14 | 12:08 | 0:52 | 1:25 | 0 | 2 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 14 | 11:07 | 0:48 | 1:39 | 1 | 0 |
 Danila YurovMIN | 12 | 9:51 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Vinnie HinostrozaMIN | 10 | 9:36 | 0:58 | 1:21 | 1 | 1 |
 Liam OhgrenMIN | 11 | 9:06 | 0:50 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |