Sun, Oct 19, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Vancouver Canucks 4, Washington Capitals 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 72% of the time.
64%
21%
WSH winsVAN wins
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 26:12 | 0.19 | 54.3% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:00 | 0.11 | 49.4% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:15 | 0.14 | 37.5% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:20 | 0.27 | 27.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:55 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:26 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:42 | 0.20 | 43.0% | +4.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.28 | 21.4% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.23 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 61.7% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:14 | 0.29 | 25.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.32 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.04 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:11 | 0.20 | 26.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:56 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 5:02 | 0.31 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:07 | 0.00 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 4.07 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:39 | 0.05 | 30.3% | +8.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:19 | 0.70 | 72.8% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:02 | 0.13 | 70.3% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:36 | 0.10 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:24 | 0.50 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.26 | 43.8% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 19:42 | 0.20 | 56.1% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 15:53 | 0.67 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:20 | 0.20 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.00 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:04 | 0.65 | 67.0% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 13:02 | 0.35 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.07 | 87.8% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:07 | 0.00 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:01 | 0.03 | 75.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.13 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:38 | 0.02 | 91.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.59 | −1.4 | 57:40 |