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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 20, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 2, Calgary Flames 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Winnipeg Jets

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Neal PionkD · #40110125:240.0529.4%+31.7
Josh MorrisseyD · #440110322:220.2274.8%+31.1
Kyle ConnorLW · #81011+1322:070.1544.9%+31.1
Mark ScheifeleC · #55101+1420:400.4639.1%+31.1
Dylan DeMeloD · #2000+1020:050.0232.5%0.0
Jonathan ToewsC · #19101−1118:010.1316.8%+31.7
Gabriel VilardiC · #13000+1217:490.3940.0%0.0
Alex IafalloLW · #90000816:221.6139.6%0.0
Nino NiederreiterRW · #62011−1015:460.0028.0%+31.7
Gustav NyquistRW · #140000015:280.0017.0%0.0
Haydn FleuryD · #24000−1114:260.0721.1%0.0
Luke SchennD · #50000114:220.0119.1%0.0
Logan StanleyD · #640000014:120.0017.0%0.0
Vladislav NamestnikovC · #70000213:450.1649.3%0.0
Morgan BarronC · #360000011:460.000.0%0.0
Cole KoepkeLW · #450000010:430.000.0%0.0
Tanner PearsonLW · #700000010:330.002.0%0.0
Brad LambertC · #93000−117:430.0533.1%0.0
Connor Hellebuyck#37W33321.9702.86+1.960:00

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus AnderssonD · #4101+1625:180.2968.2%+26.6
MacKenzie WeegarD · #52000−1325:150.0571.8%0.0
Kevin BahlD · #7000+1120:570.0352.7%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #200000320:340.3337.8%0.0
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #100000220:210.46100.0%0.0
Nazem KadriC · #91000−1319:390.2482.7%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #110000018:540.0032.0%0.0
Jake BeanD · #24000−1118:190.0672.7%0.0
Matt CoronatoRW · #270000217:150.1840.0%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #860000315:570.4688.5%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #16000+1213:340.1593.1%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #47000−1013:190.1457.7%0.0
Zayne ParekhD · #190000012:570.0079.9%0.0
Joel HanleyD · #440000011:420.00100.0%0.0
Justin KirklandC · #230000311:050.27100.0%0.0
Samuel HonzekLW · #29000−109:190.0861.0%0.0
Adam KlapkaRW · #43011+129:060.1098.6%+26.6
Ryan LombergLW · #70011+128:240.03100.0%+26.6
Dustin Wolf#32L27252.9263.31+1.358:37