Mon, Oct 20, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Winnipeg Jets 2, Calgary Flames 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 57% of the time.
35%
8%
9%
49%
CGY winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:24 | 0.05 | 29.4% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:22 | 0.22 | 74.8% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:07 | 0.15 | 44.9% | +31.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 20:40 | 0.46 | 39.1% | +31.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:05 | 0.02 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:01 | 0.13 | 16.8% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.39 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 16:22 | 1.61 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 28.0% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.07 | 21.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.01 | 19.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 | 0.00 | 17.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.16 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:46 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.05 | 33.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 32 | 1 | .970 | 2.86 | +1.9 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 25:18 | 0.29 | 68.2% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:15 | 0.05 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:34 | 0.33 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.46 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.24 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.06 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 | 0.18 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:57 | 0.46 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:34 | 0.15 | 93.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:19 | 0.14 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:05 | 0.27 | 100.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.08 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:06 | 0.10 | 98.6% | +26.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 8:24 | 0.03 | 100.0% | +26.6 |
| L | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 3.31 | +1.3 | 58:37 |