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Ice Lab

Mon, Oct 20, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary

Winnipeg Jets 2, Calgary Flames 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 57% of the time.

CGY winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CGY forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–VilardiToews–Nyquist–NiederreiterNamestnikov–Iafallo–LambertToews–Nyquist–PearsonPearson–Barron–KoepkeNiederreiter–Namestnikov–IafalloBarron–Koepke–LambertStanley–PionkDeMelo–MorrisseySchenn–FleuryDeMelo–PionkFleury–PionkMorrissey–Pionk
Kadri–Huberdeau–Farabee1:480.14–0.001:020.00–0.001:210.12–0.001:420.12–0.000:540.00–0.000:370.10–0.005:070.34–0.001:310.00–0.000:540.08–0.00
Backlund–Coleman–Coronato3:030.03–0.111:080.11–0.221:590.00–0.010:330.00–0.042:400.13–0.222:280.01–0.000:560.00–0.110:530.00–0.000:450.00–0.04
Frost–Zary–Honzek0:310.00–0.002:120.22–0.020:580.00–0.001:490.00–0.000:430.03–0.002:030.01–0.023:220.27–0.00
Kirkland–Lomberg–Klapka1:170.03–0.001:550.12–0.001:040.07–0.000:330.06–0.000:490.00–0.001:460.06–0.001:070.03–0.002:430.00–0.00
Weegar–Bean2:430.24–0.143:150.19–0.021:140.23–0.221:350.12–0.001:360.15–0.001:200.00–0.005:270.48–0.222:580.04–0.171:590.07–0.000:380.00–0.00
Andersson–Bahl5:020.07–0.040:390.00–0.010:320.03–0.011:230.00–0.042:180.09–0.002:500.01–0.003:060.14–0.040:300.00–0.000:520.00–0.04
Hanley–Parekh2:140.15–0.001:330.11–0.000:390.00–0.001:050.00–0.001:490.00–0.002:010.11–0.002:160.01–0.003:160.14–0.00
Weegar–Bahl0:440.00–0.000:470.00–0.010:310.00–0.00
Bean–Parekh0:480.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBacklund FColeman FCoronato FHuberdeau FFrost FKadri FZary FFarabee FKirkland FKlapka FLomberg FHonzek FAndersson DBahl DWeegar DParekh DBean DHanley DWolf GVilardi FScheifele FConnor FBarron FKoepke FNamestnikov FPearson FIafallo FToews FNiederreiter FNyquist FLambert FDeMelo DMorrissey DPionk DSchenn DFleury DStanley DHellebuyck G
CGYWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Neal PionkWPG3125:240:491:4928
Rasmus AnderssonCGY3625:180:421:4249
MacKenzie WeegarCGY3425:150:451:4551
Josh MorrisseyWPG2822:220:482:3043
Kyle ConnorWPG2422:070:551:3141
Kevin BahlCGY3320:570:381:4246
Mark ScheifeleWPG2520:400:501:3654
Blake ColemanCGY2720:340:461:2137
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY2520:210:491:4561
Dylan DeMeloWPG2820:050:432:3216
Nazem KadriCGY2219:390:541:4950
Mikael BacklundCGY2518:540:451:2627
Jake BeanCGY2918:190:381:1922
Jonathan ToewsWPG2318:010:471:2846
Gabriel VilardiWPG2217:490:491:3541
Matt CoronatoCGY1917:150:542:1261
Alex IafalloWPG1916:220:521:4613
Joel FarabeeCGY2115:570:461:0742
Nino NiederreiterWPG2015:460:471:0543
Gustav NyquistWPG2115:280:441:0654
Haydn FleuryWPG1914:260:461:2513
Luke SchennWPG1914:220:451:3404
Logan StanleyWPG2114:120:411:1002
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2213:450:381:1031
Morgan FrostCGY1713:340:481:1291
Connor ZaryCGY1813:190:441:1351
Zayne ParekhCGY1512:570:521:1150
Morgan BarronWPG1811:460:391:0308
Joel HanleyCGY1711:420:411:0630
Justin KirklandCGY1811:050:371:0103
Cole KoepkeWPG1410:430:461:2404
Tanner PearsonWPG1910:330:331:0314
Samuel HonzekCGY139:190:431:0551
Adam KlapkaCGY149:060:391:2500
Ryan LombergCGY138:240:391:1810
Brad LambertWPG117:430:421:1601