Wed, Oct 22, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Montréal Canadiens 2, Calgary Flames 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 57% of the time.
34%
9%
9%
47%
CGY winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 25:26 | 0.22 | 72.1% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.03 | 67.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:23 | 0.06 | 48.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:20 | 0.00 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21:05 | 0.34 | 68.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:17 | 0.35 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:02 | 0.21 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:50 | 0.26 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:41 | 0.10 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 77.6% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:46 | 0.15 | 67.7% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.42 | 71.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:34 | 0.14 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 | 0.00 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:45 | 0.21 | 24.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:22 | 0.11 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:58 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 2.27 | +1.3 | 61:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 27:46 | 0.11 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:46 | 0.21 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 22:41 | 0.15 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:50 | 0.21 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:55 | 0.13 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:42 | 0.15 | 19.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.03 | 84.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:39 | 0.22 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.17 | 59.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.41 | 35.7% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 38.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:12 | 0.17 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:08 | 0.07 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:00 | 0.17 | 37.7% | +22.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:39 | 0.04 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:26 | 0.04 | 42.9% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 2.60 | +0.6 | 61:00 |