Sat, Oct 25, 2025·Grand Casino Arena, St. Paul
Utah Mammoth 6, Minnesota Wild 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 78% of the time.
16%
72%
MIN winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 23:27 | 0.33 | 56.6% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 22:20 | 0.00 | 57.5% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:03 | 0.10 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.01 | 75.8% | +9.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 16:24 | 0.51 | 74.9% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.07 | 51.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.17 | 82.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0.18 | 73.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.32 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 68.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:16 | 0.69 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.02 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 14:07 | 0.30 | 58.1% | +10.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 13:58 | 1.30 | 61.0% | +39.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.17 | 70.4% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:18 | 0.21 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:00 | 0.19 | 56.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9:02 | 0.52 | 54.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.15 | +1.1 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:58 | 0.20 | 40.0% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:28 | 0.20 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:49 | 0.21 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:37 | 0.00 | 30.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.07 | 17.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:05 | 0.32 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:06 | 0.00 | 25.9% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.26 | 23.4% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:42 | 0.61 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.29 | 26.7% | +25.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.17 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:03 | 0.39 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:59 | 0.32 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:25 | 0.03 | 12.4% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:13 | 0.06 | 19.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:01 | 0.01 | 9.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 40 | 35 | 5 | .875 | 4.77 | −0.2 | 57:54 |