Tue, Nov 4, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Utah Mammoth 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
BUF winsUTA wins
Utah Mammoth
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:53 | 0.05 | 47.3% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:09 | 0.13 | 85.2% | +22.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:46 | 0.29 | 59.2% | +22.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:40 | 0.20 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 20:07 | 0.81 | 68.8% | +71.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:01 | 0.25 | 65.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.20 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:49 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:40 | 0.26 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 16:24 | 0.55 | 77.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:37 | 0.20 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 71.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.24 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.05 | 89.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:25 | 0.37 | 89.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:42 | 0.05 | 81.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:44 | 0.22 | 91.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:17 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 18 | 17 | 1 | .944 | 1.66 | +0.7 | 60:41 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:39 | 0.11 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.06 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:03 | 0.50 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.08 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.09 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:38 | 0.01 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:15 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:50 | 0.15 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:25 | 0.07 | 18.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:03 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:55 | 0.32 | 53.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.01 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:00 | 0.00 | 80.3% | +24.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.19 | 66.5% | +24.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:06 | 0.00 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:26 | 0.06 | 24.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:49 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.86 | +1.9 | 60:47 |