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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 4, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Utah Mammoth 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsUTA wins

Utah Mammoth

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mikhail SergachevD · #980110124:530.0547.3%+49.1
John MarinoD · #6011+1221:090.1385.2%+22.3
Nick SchmaltzC · #8101+1320:460.2959.2%+22.3
Nate SchmidtD · #88000+1220:400.2083.2%0.0
Clayton KellerRW · #9112+2620:070.8168.8%+71.4
Ian ColeD · #280000119:010.2565.7%0.0
Dylan GuentherRW · #110000216:490.2044.9%0.0
Dmitri SimashevD · #26000−1016:490.0033.2%0.0
Logan CooleyC · #92000−1116:400.2634.0%0.0
Barrett HaytonC · #27000+1516:240.5577.6%0.0
JJ PeterkaRW · #77000−1315:370.2043.2%0.0
Olli MaattaD · #20000014:010.0071.6%0.0
Kevin StenlundC · #820000113:530.2451.1%0.0
Lawson CrouseLW · #670000113:300.0589.2%0.0
Jack McBainC · #220000313:250.3789.4%0.0
Kailer YamamotoRW · #560000112:420.0581.7%0.0
Michael CarconeLW · #530000311:440.2291.4%0.0
Brandon TanevLW · #130000010:170.0065.2%0.0
Karel Vejmelka#70W18171.9441.66+0.760:41

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #260000223:390.1131.6%0.0
Mattias SamuelssonD · #23000+1221:170.0645.7%0.0
Alex TuchRW · #89000−2221:030.5049.4%0.0
Ryan McLeodC · #71000−1219:390.0839.1%0.0
Owen PowerD · #250000019:230.0022.9%0.0
Bowen ByramD · #4000−1119:000.0944.7%0.0
Peyton KrebsC · #190000118:380.0111.8%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #21000−1018:150.0032.3%0.0
Tage ThompsonC · #720000117:500.1520.2%0.0
Michael KesselringD · #80000217:250.0718.3%0.0
Jordan GreenwayLW · #120000017:030.0021.8%0.0
Jack QuinnRW · #220000216:550.3253.7%0.0
Josh DoanRW · #91000−1116:390.0144.0%0.0
Isak RosenRW · #63011+1016:000.0080.3%+24.0
Noah OstlundC · #86101+1115:140.1966.5%+24.0
Beck MalenstynLW · #29000009:060.0016.4%0.0
Josh DunneC · #44000007:260.0624.0%0.0
Mason GeertsenLW · #55000013:490.0032.3%0.0
Alex Lyon#34O35332.9433.86+1.960:47