Tue, Nov 4, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Utah Mammoth 2, Buffalo Sabres 1 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Utah Mammoth win this game 84% of the time.
10%
78%
BUF winsUTA wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against UTA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Schmaltz–Keller–Hayton | Peterka–Guenther–Cooley | Crouse–Carcone–McBain | Stenlund–Tanev–Yamamoto | Sergachev–Simashev | Schmidt–Marino | Cole–Maatta | Cole–Marino | Cole–Schmidt | Maatta–Marino | Schmidt–Simashev | Maatta–Schmidt | Cole–Sergachev | Marino–Sergachev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–McLeod–Doan | 3:140.09–0.27 | 4:140.14–0.03 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:530.40–0.00 | 1:250.01–0.13 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Quinn–Rosen–Ostlund | 1:100.12–0.00 | 1:040.19–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.00 | 1:360.19–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 1:080.12–0.00 | |||||||
| Greenway–Thompson–Quinn | 3:530.13–0.47 | 0:570.00–0.02 | 1:440.12–0.33 | 0:550.21–0.14 | ||||||||||
| Greenway–Thompson–Krebs | 0:570.00–0.18 | 2:050.00–0.18 | 0:310.03–0.03 | 0:500.00–0.19 | 1:560.00–0.07 | |||||||||
| Krebs–Rosen–Ostlund | 1:560.00–0.01 | 1:060.06–0.00 | 1:300.06–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Geertsen–Malenstyn–Dunne | 0:390.00–0.06 | 1:290.05–0.00 | 1:240.05–0.06 | 0:460.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Greenway–Thompson–McLeod | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.25 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:570.00–0.25 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–Krebs–Doan | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Dunne | 0:480.00–0.18 | 1:120.08–0.12 | ||||||||||||
| Malenstyn–Krebs–Doan | 1:060.00–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Thompson–Krebs–Doan | 0:570.00–0.13 | |||||||||||||
| Tuch–Rosen–Ostlund | ||||||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–McLeod | ||||||||||||||
| Tuch–Greenway–Krebs | ||||||||||||||
| Krebs–Quinn–Rosen | 0:420.00–0.02 | 0:440.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 4:350.09–0.27 | 3:250.24–0.03 | 3:210.07–0.24 | 2:410.05–0.03 | 5:570.33–0.06 | 2:390.00–0.10 | 2:300.07–0.39 | 1:110.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.03 | 0:520.05–0.00 | ||||
| Timmins–Power | 4:430.24–0.39 | 0:490.00–0.04 | 3:450.00–0.30 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.13 | 3:570.00–0.30 | 3:230.12–0.05 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.02 | |||||
| Kesselring–Byram | 1:500.01–0.17 | 5:550.10–0.21 | 2:180.06–0.18 | 4:140.09–0.11 | 3:330.07–0.02 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.18 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.05 | ||||||||||||
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 1:020.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||
| Kesselring–Power | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Kesselring | 0:300.00–0.10 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFUTAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mikhail SergachevUTA | 31 | 24:53 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 5 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 23:39 | 0:57 | 1:38 | 3 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 23 | 21:17 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 1 | 5 |
 John MarinoUTA | 28 | 21:09 | 0:45 | 1:43 | 5 | 2 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 25 | 21:03 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick SchmaltzUTA | 25 | 20:46 | 0:50 | 1:54 | 8 | 0 |
 Nate SchmidtUTA | 29 | 20:40 | 0:43 | 1:22 | 3 | 2 |
 Clayton KellerUTA | 23 | 20:07 | 0:52 | 1:57 | 7 | 0 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 26 | 19:39 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 1 | 7 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 22 | 19:23 | 0:53 | 1:25 | 1 | 3 |
 Ian ColeUTA | 21 | 19:01 | 0:54 | 1:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 24 | 19:00 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 1 | 4 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 20 | 18:38 | 0:56 | 1:56 | 1 | 2 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 23 | 18:15 | 0:48 | 1:27 | 0 | 7 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 21 | 17:50 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 23 | 17:25 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 0 | 4 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 21 | 17:03 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 2 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 23 | 16:55 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 4 | 3 |
 Dylan GuentherUTA | 18 | 16:49 | 0:56 | 2:09 | 5 | 2 |
 Dmitri SimashevUTA | 24 | 16:49 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Logan CooleyUTA | 17 | 16:40 | 0:59 | 2:07 | 4 | 2 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 22 | 16:39 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 3 | 4 |
 Barrett HaytonUTA | 23 | 16:24 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 7 | 0 |
 Isak RosenBUF | 21 | 16:00 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 4 | 2 |
 JJ PeterkaUTA | 19 | 15:37 | 0:49 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 21 | 15:14 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Olli MaattaUTA | 15 | 14:01 | 0:56 | 1:37 | 0 | 0 |
 Kevin StenlundUTA | 18 | 13:53 | 0:46 | 2:09 | 0 | 3 |
 Lawson CrouseUTA | 19 | 13:30 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Jack McBainUTA | 20 | 13:25 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 3 | 1 |
 Kailer YamamotoUTA | 15 | 12:42 | 0:51 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Michael CarconeUTA | 18 | 11:44 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon TanevUTA | 15 | 10:17 | 0:41 | 1:53 | 0 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 12 | 9:06 | 0:46 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Josh DunneBUF | 10 | 7:26 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Mason GeertsenBUF | 7 | 3:49 | 0:33 | 0:58 | 0 | 0 |