Tue, Nov 4, 2025·Ball Arena, Denver
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Colorado Avalanche 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 76% of the time.
69%
17%
COL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
COL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg | Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James | Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Guentzel–Cirelli | Guentzel–Point–Cirelli | McDonagh–Cernak | Hedman–Moser | D'Astous–Crozier | D'Astous–Lilleberg | Crozier–Lilleberg | McDonagh–Moser | D'Astous–Moser | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Necas | 7:150.37–0.39 | 2:240.24–0.15 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 7:260.37–0.22 | 2:540.13–0.18 | 1:070.11–0.14 | ||||||
| Nelson–Nichushkin–Colton | 1:400.00–0.00 | 2:510.00–0.01 | 2:400.25–0.01 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:310.07–0.02 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 3:110.00–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 1:000.53–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||
| Landeskog–Olofsson–Drury | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.12 | 1:480.30–0.00 | 1:220.02–0.02 | 1:200.03–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Kelly–Bardakov–Nielsen | 0:470.00–0.00 | 2:300.00–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:260.00–0.05 | ||||||||
| Toews–Makar | 4:230.00–0.25 | 2:090.11–0.07 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 3:240.00–0.16 | 3:480.00–0.20 | 0:580.11–0.08 | |||||||
| Burns–Manson | 2:360.07–0.00 | 0:560.13–0.01 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:470.02–0.00 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 1:110.13–0.01 | 0:390.02–0.00 | 1:220.03–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||
| Ahcan–Malinski | 1:030.00–0.00 | 1:270.17–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:410.11–0.00 | 1:140.00–0.05 | |||||||
| Burns–Malinski | 1:260.00–0.00 | 0:580.08–0.06 | 0:310.07–0.02 | 1:280.00–0.08 | 0:300.15–0.00 | ||||||||
| Manson–Toews | 1:150.37–0.00 | 1:170.00–0.00 | 1:170.37–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Manson–Ahcan | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.12 | 1:060.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Makar–Malinski | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Burns–Toews | 0:360.04–0.04 | 0:550.00–0.05 | 0:520.00–0.07 | ||||||||||
| Burns–Makar | 0:510.00–0.07 | 0:310.00–0.01 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Toews–Malinski | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.15 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Manson–Makar | 0:370.00–0.02 | ||||||||||||
| Manson–Malinski |
Every shift, one row per player.
COLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 28 | 27:45 | 0:59 | 2:15 | 7 | 4 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 27 | 23:58 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 28 | 22:21 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 6 | 2 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 23 | 22:00 | 0:57 | 2:04 | 6 | 2 |
 Brent BurnsCOL | 27 | 21:30 | 0:48 | 2:18 | 0 | 2 |
 Martin NecasCOL | 23 | 21:02 | 0:55 | 1:56 | 5 | 1 |
 Ryan McDonaghTBL | 27 | 20:30 | 0:46 | 1:49 | 3 | 9 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 25 | 20:17 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 5 | 2 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 23 | 19:41 | 0:51 | 2:19 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 25 | 19:36 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 6 | 0 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 28 | 19:14 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 0 | 2 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 19:04 | 0:42 | 1:31 | 6 | 0 |
 J.J. MoserTBL | 24 | 19:00 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 28 | 18:57 | 0:41 | 1:50 | 2 | 12 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 18:55 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 6 | 0 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 24 | 18:22 | 0:46 | 1:31 | 3 | 4 |
 Yanni GourdeTBL | 27 | 17:54 | 0:40 | 1:28 | 3 | 5 |
 Brock NelsonCOL | 23 | 17:30 | 0:46 | 1:51 | 3 | 3 |
 Jake GuentzelTBL | 21 | 17:18 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 5 | 2 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL | 23 | 16:09 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Jack DruryCOL | 23 | 15:37 | 0:41 | 2:04 | 0 | 4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsTBL | 25 | 15:31 | 0:37 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Sam MalinskiCOL | 20 | 14:15 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 1 | 4 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandTBL | 16 | 14:08 | 0:53 | 1:26 | 1 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonCOL | 20 | 14:07 | 0:42 | 1:49 | 3 | 1 |
 Parker KellyCOL | 16 | 13:53 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 0 | 3 |
 Dominic JamesTBL | 17 | 13:38 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Gage GoncalvesTBL | 16 | 13:32 | 0:51 | 1:20 | 1 | 2 |
 Pontus HolmbergTBL | 21 | 13:13 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 2 | 3 |
 Gabriel LandeskogCOL | 19 | 12:33 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 19 | 12:11 | 0:38 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 17 | 10:11 | 0:36 | 0:52 | 1 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 16 | 8:31 | 0:32 | 1:00 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack AhcanCOL | 11 | 7:30 | 0:41 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Zakhar BardakovCOL | 7 | 5:33 | 0:48 | 1:02 | 0 | 1 |
 Tristen NielsenCOL | 8 | 5:25 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 0 | 1 |