Thu, Nov 6, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 86% of the time.
10%
82%
VGK winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.74 | 13.5% | +22.2 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.01 | 38.8% | +13.1 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.02 | 59.3% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.00 | 60.2% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 20:20 | 0.40 | 32.6% | +35.7 |
 J.J. MoserD · #90 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:23 | 0.00 | 45.6% | +21.5 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:15 | 3.01 | 69.7% | +35.8 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.00 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.18 | 33.4% | 0.0 |
 Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:06 | 0.63 | 77.4% | +43.7 |
 Yanni GourdeC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:54 | 0.37 | 51.7% | 0.0 |
 Dominic JamesC · #17 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.21 | 96.6% | +57.1 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.39 | 85.9% | +13.2 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.08 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:05 | 0.00 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.04 | 44.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.03 | 52.0% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7:52 | 0.16 | 77.1% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 32 | 29 | 3 | .906 | 3.31 | +0.3 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah HanifinD · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 23:53 | 0.23 | 55.9% | +14.2 |
 Shea TheodoreD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:53 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack EichelC · #9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 7 | 21:54 | 0.18 | 42.9% | +35.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #93 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 21:35 | 0.16 | 39.6% | +49.3 |
 Pavel DorofeyevRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.92 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Zach WhitecloudD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
 Brayden McNabbD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:41 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
 Tomas HertlC · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.09 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Ivan BarbashevLW · #49 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:28 | 0.33 | 37.6% | +49.3 |
 William KarlssonC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:04 | 0.56 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Brandon SaadLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:58 | 0.21 | 50.5% | 0.0 |
 Kaedan KorczakD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 Brett HowdenC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:10 | 0.12 | 67.0% | 0.0 |
 Reilly SmithRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.16 | 62.8% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:37 | 0.23 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Cole ReinhardtLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:11 | 0.00 | 36.1% | 0.0 |
 Keegan KolesarRW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:10 | 0.10 | 35.4% | 0.0 |
 Carl Lindbom#30 | L | 26 | 21 | 5 | .808 | 4.18 | −0.8 | 58:37 |