TBL 6 @ VGK 3 · Nov 6, 2025

Thu, Nov 6, 2025·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

Three stars

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 86% of the time.

10%

82%

VGK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

	Gourde–Girgensons–Holmberg	Bjorkstrand–Goncalves–James	Kucherov–Guentzel–Point	Kucherov–Point–Hagel	Guentzel–Cirelli–Hagel	Bjorkstrand–Hagel–James	Hagel–Goncalves–James	Point–Cirelli–Hagel	McDonagh–Cernak	Hedman–Moser	D'Astous–Lilleberg	Moser–Lilleberg	Raddysh–Lilleberg	Raddysh–Moser	Cernak–D'Astous
Saad–Hertl–Dorofeyev	5:280.13–0.11	1:420.00–0.00	0:500.00–0.00		1:130.00–0.01		0:350.00–0.18		2:290.13–0.04	2:330.00–0.11	2:560.17–0.18	1:080.00–0.00	1:020.00–0.00
Barbashev–Eichel–Marner	3:060.22–0.33	0:520.02–0.14	2:090.26–0.09	1:540.10–0.23		0:550.00–0.00			6:110.41–1.01	2:050.22–0.02
Smith–Karlsson–Howden	0:410.00–0.00	0:500.02–0.00	1:580.11–0.01				0:310.00–0.11	1:000.12–0.18	2:090.18–0.00	4:210.61–0.25	1:130.01–0.00			0:420.12–0.00
Sissons–Kolesar–Reinhardt		4:330.00–0.59	0:560.33–0.00						0:380.00–0.00	1:270.33–0.13	2:340.00–0.02
Hanifin–Whitecloud	3:260.06–0.00	3:040.04–0.14	1:480.06–0.00		1:250.05–0.01		0:570.00–0.18	0:390.00–0.18	3:570.13–0.18	4:250.06–0.24	2:400.00–0.18	0:450.00–0.00	0:410.00–0.00
McNabb–Theodore	1:350.00–0.30	1:020.00–0.00	3:540.26–0.10	1:390.17–0.21		0:420.00–0.00			5:060.28–0.84	1:570.18–0.01	1:460.00–0.00				0:430.08–0.00
Lauzon–Korczak	4:310.30–0.14	3:360.00–0.59		0:400.00–0.02					2:320.30–0.03	3:330.12–0.26	2:120.18–0.02	0:350.00–0.00	0:590.00–0.00
Hanifin–Korczak	0:300.00–0.00	0:460.00–0.02							0:310.00–0.00	1:090.81–0.00	0:380.00–0.02

Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

VGKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals


Noah HanifinVGK	25	23:53	0:57	2:01	1	2
Shea TheodoreVGK	25	23:53	0:57	2:21	2	4
Jack EichelVGK	24	21:54	0:55	1:42	3	0
Jake GuentzelTBL	26	21:44	0:50	1:59	7	3
Mitch MarnerVGK	23	21:35	0:56	2:04	3	0
Victor HedmanTBL	27	20:34	0:46	1:56	1	3
Erik CernakTBL	28	20:32	0:44	1:29	2	6
Ryan McDonaghTBL	28	20:31	0:44	1:23	2	5
Nikita KucherovTBL	20	20:20	1:01	1:59	8	0
J.J. MoserTBL	28	19:23	0:42	1:15	0	3
Pavel DorofeyevVGK	20	19:21	0:58	1:46	6	1
Zach WhitecloudVGK	22	19:16	0:53	1:50	1	2
Brandon HagelTBL	24	19:15	0:48	1:31	3	3
Brayden McNabbVGK	23	18:41	0:49	1:16	1	4
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL	25	18:20	0:44	1:23	1	6
Tomas HertlVGK	20	17:56	0:54	1:40	6	1
Brayden PointTBL	21	17:41	0:51	1:59	7	0
Oliver BjorkstrandTBL	18	17:06	0:57	1:59	3	2
Ivan BarbashevVGK	20	16:28	0:49	1:53	2	1
William KarlssonVGK	22	16:04	0:44	1:48	2	4
Brandon SaadVGK	20	15:58	0:48	1:41	3	4
Yanni GourdeTBL	22	15:54	0:43	1:04	1	4
Kaedan KorczakVGK	23	15:14	0:40	1:39	2	2
Dominic JamesTBL	20	15:13	0:46	1:17	1	3
Brett HowdenVGK	19	15:10	0:48	1:06	2	1
Reilly SmithVGK	21	14:58	0:43	1:04	3	4
Gage GoncalvesTBL	19	13:50	0:44	1:25	1	2
Pontus HolmbergTBL	17	12:59	0:46	1:03	1	3
Jeremy LauzonVGK	20	12:30	0:38	0:54	2	2
Emil LillebergTBL	16	12:05	0:45	1:12	0	2
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL	15	11:47	0:47	1:09	1	2
Anthony CirelliTBL	12	8:54	0:45	1:13	1	0
Colton SissonsVGK	14	8:37	0:37	0:57	2	4
Darren RaddyshTBL	9	7:52	0:52	1:59	1	0
Cole ReinhardtVGK	10	6:11	0:37	0:56	2	1
Keegan KolesarVGK	10	6:10	0:37	0:55	2	1

Tampa Bay Lightning 6, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Who was on the ice

Shift totals