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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 8, 2025·Lenovo Center, Raleigh

Buffalo Sabres 3, Carolina Hurricanes 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 76% of the time.

CAR winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Thompson–McLeodGreenway–Doan–KozakMalenstyn–Krebs–DunneQuinn–Rosen–OstlundKrebs–Quinn–RosenKesselring–ByramTimmins–PowerBryson–SamuelssonSamuelsson–PowerTimmins–ByramSamuelsson–ByramTimmins–SamuelssonBryson–Kesselring
Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis2:490.18–0.160:490.00–0.004:210.26–0.122:130.10–0.094:560.20–0.103:210.43–0.121:020.00–0.000:580.00–0.081:300.07–0.07
Staal–Martinook–Carrier8:390.17–0.340:350.00–0.001:410.01–0.083:460.06–0.012:140.10–0.110:360.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:300.37–0.00
Hall–Robinson–Kotkaniemi1:040.22–0.021:070.00–0.264:400.10–0.000:470.00–0.000:400.00–0.002:510.37–0.001:210.00–0.002:350.00–0.001:050.00–0.260:400.00–0.00
Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake4:390.19–0.071:270.00–0.000:360.00–0.060:460.00–0.002:120.00–0.072:520.00–0.061:120.19–0.00
Reilly–Legault4:130.13–0.183:320.10–0.003:120.00–0.001:450.00–0.133:280.10–0.002:480.00–0.074:240.00–0.062:180.13–0.111:110.01–0.070:330.00–0.00
Nikishin–Nystrom0:370.21–0.004:450.28–0.311:590.01–0.002:110.05–0.122:090.06–0.004:510.36–0.082:410.15–0.121:370.00–0.001:030.06–0.241:580.04–0.000:300.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Walker–Miller10:330.23–0.590:560.00–0.000:310.00–0.002:310.01–0.084:170.06–0.012:570.10–0.111:270.05–0.000:400.00–0.00
Reilly–Miller0:340.00–0.26
Reilly–Nikishin0:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRobinson FHall FKotkaniemi FStaal FCarrier FMartinook FStankoven FEhlers FBlake FSvechnikov FJarvis FAho FReilly DLegault DMiller DWalker DNikishin DNystrom DKochetkov GKrebs FMalenstyn FDunne FMcLeod FThompson FTuch FGreenway FKozak FDoan FQuinn FOstlund FRosen FByram DKesselring DTimmins DPower DSamuelsson DBryson DLyon G
CARBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias SamuelssonBUF2423:350:591:5316
Owen PowerBUF2822:080:472:0882
Alexander NikishinCAR2821:390:462:0842
Bowen ByramBUF2821:300:461:3424
Sean WalkerCAR3021:090:421:1456
Mike ReillyCAR3221:050:401:4644
K'Andre MillerCAR2920:310:421:1546
Conor TimminsBUF2720:220:451:4723
Sebastian AhoCAR2220:010:551:5223
Ryan McLeodBUF2619:230:451:2744
Tage ThompsonBUF2718:590:421:2464
Alex TuchBUF2718:370:411:2454
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR3118:210:362:0844
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2118:110:521:4822
Seth JarvisCAR2117:490:511:3333
Michael KesselringBUF2317:290:461:2425
Jack QuinnBUF2317:170:451:1641
Jordan StaalCAR2816:270:350:5847
Joel NystromCAR2516:230:391:4542
Peyton KrebsBUF2116:230:471:1624
Taylor HallCAR2115:570:461:5121
Jordan MartinookCAR2515:300:370:5746
Josh DoanBUF2215:150:421:4035
Jordan GreenwayBUF2315:040:391:4125
Tyson KozakBUF2114:110:411:4026
Isak RosenBUF2013:540:421:0921
Jacob BrysonBUF2113:220:381:1613
William CarrierCAR2313:200:350:4744
Jackson BlakeCAR1612:310:471:0652
Eric RobinsonCAR1712:220:441:5022
Logan StankovenCAR1512:180:491:1652
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1711:490:421:3432
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1711:360:411:1941
Beck MalenstynBUF1410:250:451:1614
Josh DunneBUF138:530:411:2403
Noah OstlundBUF148:510:381:0130