Wed, Nov 19, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 6, Buffalo Sabres 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 62% of the time.
29%
9%
10%
52%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 23:51 | 0.18 | 51.8% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 22:12 | 0.06 | 51.9% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.11 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:39 | 0.02 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 18:27 | 0.43 | 50.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 18:05 | 0.62 | 56.4% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:16 | 0.04 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.19 | 53.1% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:21 | 0.15 | 58.6% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:53 | 0.03 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 60.5% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.14 | 61.7% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.15 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 13:21 | 0.50 | 61.7% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:47 | 0.03 | 25.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:25 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.08 | 30.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.03 | 0.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:16 | 0.23 | 58.4% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.17 | 62.6% | +35.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.03 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 19:51 | 0.03 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:27 | 0.14 | 39.0% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.29 | 67.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:20 | 0.18 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.01 | 26.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.11 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:47 | 0.16 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:26 | 0.25 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:17 | 0.17 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:08 | 0.17 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.09 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 36.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:22 | 0.01 | 40.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 29 | 6 | .829 | 2.74 | −3.3 | 60:00 |