Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa
Calgary Flames 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.
23%
64%
TBL winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:39 | 0.06 | 79.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 21:37 | 0.10 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:54 | 0.08 | 79.8% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 19:51 | 0.72 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.24 | 75.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.09 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 17:37 | 0.68 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:42 | 0.71 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:39 | 0.07 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.45 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:31 | 0.02 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.18 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 65.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13:21 | 0.75 | 66.7% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:43 | 0.06 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.18 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:13 | 0.00 | 49.8% | +1.7 |
| – | 19 | 17 | 2 | .895 | 2.92 | +0.9 | 54:08 | |
| L | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 0.13 | −2.9 | 5:52 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.24 | 29.6% | +0.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:58 | 0.08 | 32.3% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 21:21 | 0.02 | 34.8% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 20:44 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:11 | 0.20 | 36.6% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.48 | 52.8% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:27 | 0.01 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:28 | 0.43 | 49.9% | +11.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.22 | 31.1% | +11.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:18 | 0.04 | 43.1% | +5.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:10 | 0.12 | 57.0% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.04 | 31.2% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 13:37 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.18 | 23.5% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.47 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:35 | 0.17 | 33.7% | +8.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.35 | 23.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:31 | 0.00 | 20.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 4.40 | +3.4 | 60:00 |