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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 26, 2025·Benchmark International Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 70% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Calgary Flames

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

MacKenzie WeegarD · #52000−1123:390.0679.8%0.0
Rasmus AnderssonD · #4000−4121:370.1025.0%0.0
Yan KuznetsovD · #37011−1020:540.0879.8%+1.7
Nazem KadriC · #91000−1519:510.7255.5%0.0
Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10000−2219:150.2475.3%0.0
Mikael BacklundC · #11000−2118:190.0973.2%0.0
Kevin BahlD · #7000−2018:170.0047.1%0.0
Matt CoronatoRW · #27000−2617:370.6866.6%0.0
Morgan FrostC · #16000−2316:420.7169.0%0.0
Blake ColemanLW · #20000−1014:390.0780.5%0.0
Connor ZaryC · #47000−2214:370.4579.9%0.0
Yegor SharangovichC · #17000−1114:310.0277.9%0.0
Brayden PachalD · #940000113:520.1870.6%0.0
Joel HanleyD · #440000213:410.0065.0%0.0
Joel FarabeeLW · #861010613:210.7566.7%+1.7
Adam KlapkaRW · #43000−1011:430.0634.0%0.0
Ryan LombergLW · #700000110:120.1834.5%0.0
John BeecherC · #18011+109:130.0049.8%+1.7
Devin Cooley#1–19172.8952.92+0.954:08
Dustin Wolf#32L413.2500.13−2.95:52

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darren RaddyshD · #43011+1222:180.2429.6%+0.3
Charle-Edouard D'AstousD · #51101+1121:580.0832.3%+11.3
Jake GuentzelC · #59022+1121:210.0234.8%+16.6
J.J. MoserD · #90000+2020:440.0026.5%0.0
Brandon HagelLW · #38112+2320:110.2036.6%+11.6
Nick PaulLW · #20011+1219:460.4852.8%+11.3
Emil LillebergD · #78000+2018:270.0137.4%0.0
Nikita KucherovRW · #86112+1317:280.4349.9%+11.6
Anthony CirelliC · #71011+2017:270.2231.1%+11.3
Steven SantiniD · #16011+1215:180.0443.1%+5.3
Declan CarlileD · #67101+2115:100.1257.0%+5.3
Yanni GourdeC · #37011+1215:030.0431.2%+8.7
Gage GoncalvesC · #93000+2013:370.0025.5%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28101+1212:590.1823.5%+8.7
Oliver BjorkstrandRW · #22000−1212:530.4750.3%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29011+129:350.1733.7%+8.7
Dominic JamesC · #17000009:140.3523.1%0.0
Curtis DouglasC · #42000006:310.0020.8%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88W32311.9694.40+3.460:00