Fri, Dec 5, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Buffalo Sabres 1, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
24%
62%
WPG winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:42 | 0.20 | 63.6% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:21 | 0.05 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:46 | 0.11 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:17 | 0.02 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.22 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.18 | 71.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:55 | 0.57 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 16:32 | 1.00 | 62.0% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.73 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:01 | 0.28 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.06 | 49.5% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.14 | 49.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:21 | 0.19 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:42 | 0.21 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:24 | 0.09 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.07 | 47.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:32 | 0.09 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.02 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 58:30 |
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:57 | 0.15 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 23:38 | 0.10 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.07 | 47.2% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:01 | 0.00 | 49.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:48 | 0.55 | 55.0% | +0.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 20:28 | 0.45 | 58.5% | +13.1 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.73 | 57.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.21 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.18 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.03 | 13.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:43 | 0.00 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:57 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.11 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:08 | 0.04 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 11:57 | 0.12 | 54.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.15 | 48.4% | +34.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.09 | 54.1% | +21.1 |
| W | 35 | 34 | 1 | .971 | 4.22 | +3.2 | 60:00 |