Fri, Dec 5, 2025·Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg
Buffalo Sabres 1, Winnipeg Jets 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
24%
62%
WPG winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Thompson–Norris–Benson | Greenway–Malenstyn–Krebs | Zucker–McLeod–Quinn | Tuch–McLeod–Doan | Tuch–Doan–Ostlund | Zucker–Quinn–Ostlund | Quinn–Doan–Ostlund | Zucker–Krebs–Quinn | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Timmins–Byram | Bryson–Power | Byram–Power | Timmins–Power | Samuelsson–Power | Dahlin–Power | Samuelsson–Byram | Bryson–Dahlin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scheifele–Connor–Vilardi | 4:410.41–0.54 | 3:280.18–0.00 | 2:000.00–0.05 | 1:110.08–0.00 | 1:040.02–0.00 | 3:250.00–0.24 | 4:530.68–0.01 | 0:370.01–0.00 | 1:510.24–0.06 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.38 | |||||
| Pearson–Barron–Koepke | 1:230.24–0.00 | 2:550.00–0.25 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 1:250.16–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.12 | 3:270.17–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.18 | 1:400.09–0.03 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Toews–Lowry–Perfetti | 2:310.02–0.03 | 0:530.00–0.04 | 2:370.00–0.00 | 1:420.02–0.00 | 1:330.00–0.08 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Niederreiter–Namestnikov–Iafallo | 1:580.00–0.05 | 1:500.17–0.01 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:140.01–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:070.03–0.00 | 2:480.13–0.07 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Toews–Namestnikov–Perfetti | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:280.02–0.15 | 1:320.02–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.09 | 0:390.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Niederreiter–Lowry–Iafallo | 0:330.18–0.18 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:480.22–0.18 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Morrissey | 4:170.09–0.44 | 2:190.00–0.04 | 3:160.01–0.14 | 2:040.08–0.00 | 1:240.11–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.12 | 4:370.04–0.07 | 3:340.18–0.12 | 2:200.10–0.03 | 1:090.01–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.14 | 1:160.00–0.38 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||
| Samberg–Pionk | 5:490.02–0.21 | 2:140.13–0.05 | 1:330.00–0.11 | 2:070.01–0.04 | 1:390.00–0.00 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 5:330.07–0.10 | 4:240.13–0.21 | 1:470.00–0.07 | 1:010.00–0.24 | 1:160.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | |||||
| Stanley–Salomonsson | 4:530.18–0.35 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.09 | 2:070.18–0.26 | 3:240.00–0.12 | 1:000.00–0.09 | 1:060.00–0.05 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Morrissey–Pionk | 1:150.08–0.00 | 1:040.08–0.00 | 0:380.24–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Stanley–Samberg | 0:530.00–0.06 | 0:540.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||||
| DeMelo–Samberg | 0:480.32–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WPGBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 26 | 24:42 | 0:57 | 1:42 | 3 | 2 |
 Josh MorrisseyWPG | 28 | 23:57 | 0:51 | 2:11 | 5 | 3 |
 Neal PionkWPG | 29 | 23:38 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 1 | 6 |
 Dylan SambergWPG | 29 | 23:30 | 0:49 | 1:27 | 2 | 5 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 27 | 23:21 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 3 | 5 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 29 | 21:46 | 0:45 | 1:18 | 3 | 5 |
 Dylan DeMeloWPG | 27 | 21:01 | 0:47 | 1:49 | 5 | 3 |
 Mark ScheifeleWPG | 22 | 20:48 | 0:57 | 2:28 | 6 | 2 |
 Kyle ConnorWPG | 22 | 20:28 | 0:56 | 2:26 | 6 | 0 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 23 | 20:17 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 3 | 3 |
 Gabriel VilardiWPG | 21 | 20:09 | 0:58 | 2:25 | 6 | 1 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 25 | 18:37 | 0:45 | 1:17 | 1 | 4 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 6 | 3 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 16:55 | 0:51 | 1:28 | 2 | 6 |
 Jason ZuckerBUF | 21 | 16:32 | 0:47 | 1:51 | 5 | 1 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 16:09 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 4 | 3 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 21 | 16:01 | 0:46 | 1:12 | 5 | 1 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 22 | 15:43 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 2 | 5 |
 Logan StanleyWPG | 17 | 15:09 | 0:53 | 1:48 | 0 | 1 |
 Adam LowryWPG | 21 | 14:51 | 0:42 | 1:27 | 2 | 9 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 16 | 14:50 | 0:56 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Cole PerfettiWPG | 17 | 14:37 | 0:52 | 1:30 | 4 | 3 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 17 | 14:21 | 0:51 | 1:31 | 2 | 1 |
 Jonathan ToewsWPG | 17 | 13:43 | 0:48 | 1:24 | 4 | 3 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 17 | 13:42 | 0:48 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 17 | 13:24 | 0:47 | 1:03 | 1 | 6 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 16 | 13:11 | 0:49 | 1:04 | 0 | 1 |
 Alex IafalloWPG | 17 | 12:57 | 0:46 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovWPG | 17 | 12:52 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 2 | 1 |
 Nino NiederreiterWPG | 15 | 12:08 | 0:49 | 1:50 | 2 | 2 |
 Morgan BarronWPG | 17 | 11:57 | 0:42 | 1:26 | 0 | 4 |
 Elias SalomonssonWPG | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 0 | 1 |
 Cole KoepkeWPG | 14 | 11:34 | 0:50 | 1:31 | 0 | 3 |
 Tanner PearsonWPG | 14 | 10:41 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 0 | 2 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 15 | 10:32 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 2 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 12 | 9:14 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 2 | 2 |