Sat, Dec 6, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 73% of the time.
19%
8%
8%
65%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26:56 | 0.23 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.07 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23:12 | 0.39 | 70.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:39 | 0.18 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:36 | 0.20 | 76.3% | +15.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.59 | 76.3% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:16 | 0.02 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.00 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:37 | 0.32 | 40.9% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.10 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:53 | 0.00 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.22 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.21 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 12:59 | 0.14 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:49 | 0.04 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.09 | 93.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:31 | 0.12 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:31 | 0.20 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 22 | 1 | .957 | 1.80 | +0.8 | 64:29 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:30 | 0.22 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:58 | 0.01 | 41.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:52 | 0.12 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20:48 | 0.35 | 19.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:47 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.38 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.12 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:10 | 0.08 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.13 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:06 | 0.00 | 46.4% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:04 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:44 | 0.12 | 36.9% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:33 | 0.19 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:40 | 0.06 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 7.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:21 | 0.03 | 59.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:58 | 0.00 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 3.13 | +2.1 | 64:43 |