Mon, Dec 8, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Buffalo Sabres 4, Calgary Flames 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 59% of the time.
51%
8%
32%
CGY winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −3 | 2 | 24:51 | 0.19 | 38.4% | +19.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 21:42 | 0.41 | 26.2% | +6.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 21:22 | 0.27 | 31.7% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 21:17 | 0.18 | 57.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:24 | 0.01 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.05 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.38 | 68.7% | +27.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:17 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 | 0.10 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 17:05 | 0.64 | 42.8% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:19 | 0.07 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.07 | 78.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.15 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.08 | 85.5% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 9:44 | 0.05 | 29.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:00 | 0.02 | 75.1% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:35 | 0.06 | 71.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:30 | 0.32 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 22 | 17 | 5 | .773 | 2.26 | −2.7 | 40:00 | |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.40 | +0.4 | 17:29 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 25:49 | 0.27 | 58.0% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:14 | 0.07 | 55.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.17 | 44.8% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.06 | 42.5% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:25 | 0.31 | 22.0% | +14.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.19 | 67.4% | +41.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.37 | 52.1% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.87 | 50.5% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 16:10 | 0.09 | 22.2% | +26.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.66 | 64.5% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.27 | 62.9% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 22.5% | +14.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:51 | 0.11 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.01 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:24 | 0.00 | 44.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:10 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6:58 | 0.20 | 66.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.06 | −0.9 | 60:00 |