Tue, Dec 9, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Buffalo Sabres 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 51% of the time.
43%
9%
9%
40%
EDM winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:09 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22:58 | 0.37 | 55.5% | +71.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.11 | 26.1% | +49.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.36 | 51.0% | +49.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 22.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.04 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.62 | 47.6% | +38.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.10 | 49.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:50 | 0.20 | 51.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.15 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −2 | 5 | 15:07 | 0.57 | 51.8% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:35 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:23 | 0.14 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:40 | 0.09 | 77.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.07 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:45 | 0.00 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:08 | 0.02 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 41:32 | |
| – | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.49 | +0.5 | 19:01 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 28:34 | 0.10 | 60.0% | +41.5 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 25:51 | 0.44 | 70.1% | +48.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 24:19 | 0.72 | 80.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:24 | 0.32 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.33 | 60.0% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 21:29 | 0.17 | 58.5% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.09 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:08 | 0.48 | 76.6% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.01 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:22 | 0.00 | 92.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.08 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:07 | 0.06 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:00 | 0.08 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:57 | 0.07 | 15.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:41 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| O | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 2.87 | −1.1 | 59:22 |