Tue, Dec 9, 2025·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Buffalo Sabres 4, Edmonton Oilers 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 51% of the time.
43%
9%
9%
40%
EDM winsBUF wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | Doan–Kozak–Benson | McLeod–Quinn–Rosen | Greenway–Malenstyn–Dunne | Thompson–Krebs–Quinn | Tuch–McLeod–Krebs | McLeod–Krebs–Quinn | Samuelsson–Dahlin | Timmins–Byram | Samuelsson–Power | Bryson–Power | Timmins–Samuelsson | Timmins–Power | Dahlin–Byram | Bryson–Dahlin | Samuelsson–Byram | Byram–Power | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyman–Nugent-Hopkins–McDavid | 3:430.29–0.11 | 1:320.12–0.00 | 1:390.03–0.15 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 2:260.12–0.00 | 4:100.29–0.11 | 1:370.06–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Draisaitl–Podkolzin–Savoie | 4:220.24–0.13 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:100.09–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.04 | 2:090.08–0.02 | 2:200.12–0.04 | 1:270.11–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Henrique–Janmark–Mangiapane | 0:380.00–0.35 | 1:140.14–0.00 | 2:330.01–0.05 | 2:410.07–0.02 | 1:160.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Lazar–Frederic–Tomasek | 2:240.00–0.29 | 0:380.00–0.14 | 1:120.00–0.03 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid | 0:370.00–0.09 | 0:320.04–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.09 | 1:380.27–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Henrique–Mangiapane–Savoie | |||||||||||||||||
| Draisaitl–McDavid–Podkolzin | 0:450.16–0.00 | 0:550.16–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Ekholm–Bouchard | 3:370.40–0.35 | 3:090.13–0.17 | 2:230.03–0.00 | 0:500.16–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | 5:020.20–0.27 | 3:570.29–0.03 | 1:570.17–0.33 | 1:420.27–0.00 | 1:520.16–0.00 | |||||||
| Nurse–Regula | 4:260.06–0.22 | 1:320.08–0.00 | 2:320.00–0.28 | 1:380.07–0.05 | 0:530.00–0.04 | 1:130.07–0.00 | 4:180.05–0.15 | 1:320.01–0.00 | 2:100.00–0.15 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.02 | |||||
| Kulak–Emberson | 0:590.00–0.02 | 2:340.06–0.00 | 0:510.09–0.00 | 2:520.01–0.03 | 3:420.07–0.02 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Ekholm–Nurse | 0:340.07–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.04 | 0:310.07–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.04 | |||||||||||||
| Nurse–Bouchard | 0:370.00–0.09 | 0:580.00–0.09 |
Every shift, one row per player.
EDMBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 26 | 28:34 | 1:06 | 2:36 | 2 | 3 | |
| 28 | 26:09 | 0:56 | 1:50 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 25:51 | 1:07 | 2:28 | 4 | 2 | |
| 23 | 24:19 | 1:03 | 2:31 | 5 | 1 | |
| 22 | 23:24 | 1:04 | 2:30 | 2 | 1 | |
| 28 | 22:58 | 0:49 | 2:20 | 6 | 0 | |
| 26 | 22:40 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 2 | 5 | |
| 27 | 22:37 | 0:50 | 2:11 | 4 | 6 | |
| 26 | 22:37 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 5 | 5 | |
| 30 | 22:09 | 0:44 | 2:18 | 0 | 7 | |
| 24 | 21:29 | 0:54 | 2:32 | 2 | 7 | |
| 27 | 21:14 | 0:47 | 1:33 | 2 | 3 | |
| 23 | 19:28 | 0:51 | 1:45 | 2 | 3 | |
| 23 | 19:11 | 0:50 | 2:20 | 8 | 2 | |
| 22 | 17:54 | 0:49 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 | |
| 22 | 17:27 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 | |
| 22 | 16:50 | 0:46 | 2:23 | 2 | 3 | |
| 20 | 16:10 | 0:49 | 1:25 | 3 | 4 | |
| 18 | 15:08 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 2 | 1 | |
| 21 | 15:07 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 4 | 3 | |
| 22 | 15:07 | 0:41 | 1:11 | 4 | 3 | |
| 16 | 14:46 | 0:55 | 1:30 | 0 | 3 | |
| 18 | 14:35 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 1 | 5 | |
| 19 | 13:22 | 0:42 | 1:25 | 0 | 5 | |
| 17 | 12:32 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 1 | 3 | |
| 21 | 11:35 | 0:33 | 0:53 | 1 | 5 | |
| 20 | 11:23 | 0:34 | 1:00 | 1 | 1 | |
| 13 | 10:07 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 0 | 4 | |
| 17 | 9:40 | 0:34 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 | |
| 15 | 9:05 | 0:36 | 1:01 | 2 | 2 | |
| 11 | 9:00 | 0:49 | 1:10 | 1 | 2 | |
| 17 | 8:17 | 0:29 | 1:10 | 0 | 6 | |
| 12 | 7:45 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 1 | 0 | |
| 12 | 6:57 | 0:35 | 0:57 | 0 | 1 | |
| 8 | 6:08 | 0:46 | 1:10 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 5:41 | 0:34 | 1:08 | 0 | 1 |