Wed, Dec 10, 2025·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Detroit Red Wings 4, Calgary Flames 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 54% of the time.
38%
8%
9%
45%
CGY winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28:23 | 0.06 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:25 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:40 | 0.11 | 65.1% | +4.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:54 | 0.49 | 64.4% | +4.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.00 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:51 | 0.54 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.11 | 62.9% | +23.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.07 | 58.9% | +12.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.06 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 14:56 | 0.65 | 65.5% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.05 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.05 | 65.5% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.09 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.04 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.14 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:44 | 0.13 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10:27 | 0.54 | 60.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 34 | 3 | .919 | 2.89 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 25:15 | 0.10 | 33.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:02 | 0.23 | 37.3% | +12.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 21:42 | 0.39 | 31.5% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.00 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.10 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:48 | 0.31 | 51.4% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.08 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.01 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.18 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:29 | 0.24 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.05 | 96.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:07 | 0.15 | 50.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.19 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.52 | 48.5% | +1.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.02 | 97.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:19 | 0.10 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:16 | 0.09 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:39 | 0.13 | 37.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.12 | −0.9 | 58:11 |