Thu, Dec 11, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Carolina Hurricanes 3, Washington Capitals 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 67% of the time.
26%
59%
WSH winsCAR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Aho–Svechnikov–Jarvis | Ehlers–Stankoven–Blake | Staal–Martinook–Carrier | Hall–Jankowski–Robinson | Walker–Miller | Gostisbehere–Chatfield | Nikishin–Nystrom | Chatfield–Nikishin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wilson–Protas–Sourdif | 8:140.20–0.97 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 2:250.34–0.01 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 5:210.16–0.25 | 4:500.39–0.24 | 1:220.00–0.09 | 1:140.00–0.00 |
| Dowd–Beauvillier–Frank | 4:320.02–0.35 | 1:040.07–0.02 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 2:240.09–0.10 | 3:000.01–0.23 | ||
| Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael | 1:000.05–0.01 | 3:440.00–0.22 | 2:380.00–0.15 | 3:480.05–0.09 | ||||
| Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier | 0:370.00–0.11 | 1:260.20–0.00 | 1:090.01–0.21 | 0:550.01–0.21 | 2:160.00–0.12 | 1:050.20–0.00 | ||
| Milano–Duhaime–Lapierre | 2:390.09–0.20 | 1:410.00–0.09 | 0:480.09–0.10 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||
| Dowd–McMichael–Frank | 1:260.00–0.14 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:440.08–0.14 | |||||
| Roy–Chychrun | 7:160.18–0.38 | 4:100.01–0.38 | 2:080.01–0.27 | 1:000.09–0.00 | 7:570.01–0.59 | 5:370.20–0.29 | 2:240.08–0.01 | |
| van Riemsdyk–Sandin | 2:060.00–0.04 | 1:400.19–0.00 | 6:470.55–0.16 | 2:150.13–0.22 | 5:070.45–0.25 | 6:220.41–0.18 | 2:340.14–0.08 | 1:050.00–0.00 |
| Carlson–Fehérváry | 2:370.16–0.68 | 4:560.32–0.39 | 1:290.00–0.02 | 1:530.03–0.20 | 4:130.29–0.35 | 4:060.14–0.18 | 4:010.21–0.31 | |
| Carlson–Chychrun | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||
| Carlson–Sandin | 0:310.13–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
WSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 23 | 25:27 | 1:06 | 2:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Shayne GostisbehereCAR | 28 | 23:41 | 0:51 | 2:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 28 | 23:29 | 0:50 | 2:05 | 1 | 6 |
 K'Andre MillerCAR | 30 | 23:04 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Jalen ChatfieldCAR | 28 | 22:57 | 0:49 | 1:44 | 1 | 3 |
 Sean WalkerCAR | 31 | 22:42 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 3 | 3 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 25 | 22:05 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 2 | 4 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 21:58 | 1:03 | 1:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Sebastian AhoCAR | 22 | 21:19 | 0:58 | 1:42 | 5 | 1 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 20:47 | 0:52 | 1:35 | 1 | 2 |
 Seth JarvisCAR | 22 | 20:30 | 0:56 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Jackson BlakeCAR | 23 | 20:24 | 0:53 | 1:28 | 1 | 1 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 22 | 20:01 | 0:55 | 1:26 | 5 | 0 |
 Andrei SvechnikovCAR | 19 | 19:51 | 1:03 | 1:30 | 5 | 0 |
 Justin SourdifWSH | 24 | 19:38 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 2 | 4 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 22 | 19:21 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 18:54 | 0:54 | 1:27 | 1 | 2 |
 Anthony BeauvillierWSH | 20 | 18:52 | 0:57 | 1:54 | 1 | 0 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 24 | 18:27 | 0:46 | 1:40 | 5 | 3 |
 Nikolaj EhlersCAR | 21 | 17:54 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Jordan StaalCAR | 27 | 17:46 | 0:39 | 1:21 | 3 | 6 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 20 | 17:12 | 0:52 | 2:09 | 6 | 0 |
 Logan StankovenCAR | 18 | 16:54 | 0:56 | 1:22 | 2 | 0 |
 Alexander NikishinCAR | 19 | 16:37 | 0:52 | 1:34 | 2 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 21 | 16:31 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 0 | 3 |
 Ethen FrankWSH | 18 | 14:43 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 14:33 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Jordan MartinookCAR | 20 | 13:26 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 0 | 4 |
 William CarrierCAR | 20 | 13:21 | 0:40 | 1:09 | 0 | 4 |
 Joel NystromCAR | 16 | 12:05 | 0:45 | 1:33 | 1 | 1 |
 Taylor HallCAR | 16 | 11:31 | 0:43 | 1:10 | 2 | 0 |
 Eric RobinsonCAR | 15 | 10:56 | 0:44 | 1:00 | 1 | 2 |
 Mark JankowskiCAR | 11 | 8:06 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 1 | 0 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 13 | 7:55 | 0:37 | 0:58 | 0 | 2 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 9 | 6:09 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 7 | 4:58 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |