Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.
47%
11%
11%
31%
TOR winsCHI wins
Chicago Blackhawks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:39 | 0.13 | 78.3% | +15.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.03 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:38 | 0.08 | 44.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:51 | 0.01 | 57.3% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.25 | 34.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:11 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:45 | 0.02 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.28 | 65.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:45 | 0.00 | 32.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.21 | 72.0% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:40 | 0.27 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.07 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.11 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:32 | 0.14 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.03 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:54 | 0.00 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.07 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:32 | 0.00 | 35.4% | +15.5 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.11 | −0.9 | 58:59 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.00 | 69.4% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:19 | 0.06 | 38.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20:52 | 0.49 | 69.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.17 | 62.0% | +45.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.03 | 34.4% | +15.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20:24 | 0.07 | 54.7% | +45.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:17 | 0.08 | 74.6% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:21 | 0.17 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.06 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.00 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:14 | 0.11 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.35 | 40.1% | +46.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 40.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.09 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.09 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.29 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 77.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:58 | 0.06 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 1.71 | −0.3 | 60:00 |