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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Chicago Blackhawks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsCHI wins

Chicago Blackhawks

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Wyatt KaiserD · #44101+1322:390.1378.3%+15.5
Matt GrzelcykD · #48000+1022:170.0353.2%0.0
Tyler BertuzziLW · #59000−1120:380.0844.9%0.0
Louis CrevierD · #46011−1219:510.0157.3%+15.2
Frank NazarC · #91000−1319:320.2534.9%0.0
Alex VlasicD · #72000−1019:110.0047.4%0.0
Andre BurakovskyLW · #28000−1118:450.0242.9%0.0
Ilya MikheyevRW · #950110418:070.2865.0%+15.2
Connor MurphyD · #50000017:450.0032.1%0.0
Jason DickinsonC · #161010217:410.2172.0%+15.2
Teuvo TeravainenC · #86000−1216:400.2761.2%0.0
Ethan Del MastroD · #380000215:070.0737.8%0.0
Ryan GreeneC · #200000013:300.1147.8%0.0
Nick LardisLW · #760000112:320.1437.2%0.0
Colton DachC · #34000+1110:570.0362.6%0.0
Ryan DonatoC · #8000+1010:540.0037.9%0.0
Oliver MooreC · #110000210:530.0743.2%0.0
Dominic ToninatoC · #25011+119:320.0035.4%+15.5
Spencer Knight#30L27243.8892.11−0.958:59

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jake McCabeD · #22011+1023:180.0069.4%+46.0
Morgan RiellyD · #440000222:190.0638.9%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #230000620:520.4969.5%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #341120120:300.1762.0%+45.2
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95101+1120:280.0334.4%+15.2
William NylanderRW · #880220220:240.0754.7%+45.2
Troy StecherD · #28011+1320:170.0874.6%+46.0
John TavaresC · #91000−1118:210.1742.8%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1216:220.0639.7%0.0
Nicolas RoyC · #55000+1015:240.0044.4%0.0
Bobby McMannC · #74000+1114:140.1149.6%0.0
Dakota JoshuaC · #81101+1313:140.3540.1%+46.0
Henry ThrunD · #3000−1013:040.0040.4%0.0
Max DomiC · #110000013:000.0946.6%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #890000112:360.0949.2%0.0
Scott LaughtonC · #24000−1211:330.2977.5%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000−1011:060.0077.5%0.0
Easton CowanRW · #53000−1210:580.0647.2%0.0
Joseph Woll#60W25232.9201.71−0.360:00