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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 16, 2025·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Chicago Blackhawks 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsCHI wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Burakovsky–Bertuzzi–NazarTeravainen–Dickinson–MikheyevGreene–Lardis–MooreToninato–Donato–DachBurakovsky–Bertuzzi–GreeneVlasic–CrevierGrzelcyk–KaiserMurphy–Del MastroMurphy–KaiserGrzelcyk–Del MastroGrzelcyk–CrevierCrevier–Del Mastro
Nylander–Matthews–Knies3:110.28–0.007:400.08–0.037:300.02–0.123:180.06–0.001:130.15–0.00
Domi–Joshua–Roy1:470.00–0.001:400.20–0.061:450.00–0.010:580.00–0.081:250.00–0.332:360.02–0.012:380.00–0.14
Tavares–Robertson–McMann2:420.08–0.041:320.10–0.001:460.07–0.172:350.09–0.100:420.00–0.043:020.12–0.07
Laughton–Lorentz–Cowan1:430.00–0.001:520.00–0.080:520.00–0.002:200.00–0.081:120.12–0.00
Joshua–Roy–McMann1:550.08–0.131:010.00–0.060:520.17–0.000:520.00–0.021:080.10–0.050:550.00–0.05
Tavares–Robertson–Cowan0:520.04–0.001:390.00–0.021:450.00–0.110:510.04–0.001:110.02–0.02
Laughton–Domi–Lorentz0:560.00–0.000:460.01–0.000:440.09–0.001:040.12–0.000:450.00–0.001:000.01–0.00
McCabe–Stecher7:080.42–0.152:490.16–0.020:390.09–0.002:150.00–0.005:210.25–0.025:170.06–0.142:290.22–0.050:390.02–0.000:300.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly2:290.00–0.004:040.04–0.012:590.04–0.121:540.12–0.003:460.03–0.104:210.00–0.002:440.06–0.061:110.04–0.050:340.07–0.01
Benoit–Thrun0:380.12–0.001:350.00–0.003:220.07–0.072:310.00–0.111:550.00–0.002:340.00–0.203:540.19–0.070:370.00–0.02
Ekman-Larsson–Benoit0:300.00–0.020:340.00–0.000:370.00–0.100:560.00–0.081:030.00–0.101:220.00–0.08
Rielly–McCabe0:390.00–0.080:340.00–0.08
Rielly–Benoit0:310.00–0.00
McCabe–Benoit0:380.03–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Thrun0:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDomi FRoy FJoshua FKnies FMatthews FNylander FMcMann FRobertson FTavares FLaughton FCowan FLorentz FRielly DEkman-Larsson DMcCabe DStecher DBenoit DThrun DWoll GDickinson FTeravainen FMikheyev FMoore FLardis FGreene FBertuzzi FNazar FBurakovsky FToninato FDach FDonato FKaiser DGrzelcyk DCrevier DVlasic DMurphy DDel Mastro DKnight G
TORCHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jake McCabeTOR2823:180:501:2526
Wyatt KaiserCHI2722:390:501:4913
Morgan RiellyTOR2922:190:461:4562
Matt GrzelcykCHI2522:170:531:4511
Matthew KniesTOR2520:520:501:2362
Tyler BertuzziCHI2120:380:591:3040
Auston MatthewsTOR2520:300:491:1962
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2620:280:471:2341
William NylanderTOR2420:240:511:3462
Troy StecherTOR2420:170:511:2914
Louis CrevierCHI2719:510:441:2614
Frank NazarCHI2119:320:561:2950
Alex VlasicCHI2719:110:431:3114
Andre BurakovskyCHI2018:450:561:2950
John TavaresTOR2018:210:552:1641
Ilya MikheyevCHI2618:070:421:1324
Connor MurphyCHI2417:450:441:1212
Jason DickinsonCHI2817:410:381:2024
Teuvo TeravainenCHI2616:400:381:1725
Simon BenoitTOR2216:220:451:1104
Nicolas RoyTOR1815:240:511:2301
Ethan Del MastroCHI2015:070:451:1920
Bobby McMannTOR1714:140:501:2831
Ryan GreeneCHI1913:300:431:1233
Dakota JoshuaTOR1713:140:471:1101
Henry ThrunTOR1813:040:441:2803
Max DomiTOR1613:000:491:1703
Nick RobertsonTOR1712:360:441:1222
Nick LardisCHI1512:320:501:4130
Scott LaughtonTOR1611:330:431:1926
Steven LorentzTOR1611:060:421:0626
Easton CowanTOR1410:580:471:1221
Colton DachCHI1510:570:441:1411
Ryan DonatoCHI1610:540:411:1521
Oliver MooreCHI1510:530:441:0421
Dominic ToninatoCHI149:320:411:1211