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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 17, 2025·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Nashville Predators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 88% of the time.

NSH winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Svechnikov–JarvisEhlers–Stankoven–BlakeHall–Jankowski–RobinsonStaal–Martinook–CarrierStaal–Carrier–RobinsonHall–Jankowski–JarvisWalker–MillerGostisbehere–ChatfieldSlavin–NikishinChatfield–NikishinGostisbehere–Miller
McCarron–Smith–Schaefer0:540.00–0.011:150.00–0.013:580.01–0.010:430.04–0.002:450.02–0.103:390.05–0.020:420.00–0.000:530.00–0.00
O'Reilly–Forsberg–Evangelista2:190.06–0.082:050.00–0.061:060.00–0.011:560.06–0.080:550.01–0.06
Haula–Marchessault–Bunting1:550.00–0.201:210.11–0.390:350.11–0.002:000.00–0.59
Stamkos–Svechkov–Wood0:330.00–0.022:240.01–0.122:130.01–0.140:480.00–0.00
Stamkos–O'Reilly–Forsberg0:540.49–0.001:220.04–0.000:340.12–0.001:420.41–0.001:070.05–0.00
Forsberg–Evangelista–Svechkov1:160.09–0.000:430.09–0.000:360.00–0.00
Haula–Forsberg–Wood0:410.00–0.070:410.00–0.07
McCarron–Smith–Evangelista0:360.05–0.000:460.00–0.040:360.05–0.000:500.00–0.04
Bunting–Evangelista–Svechkov0:320.09–0.000:470.00–0.010:320.09–0.000:470.00–0.01
Stamkos–O'Reilly–Bunting0:460.01–0.00
Haula–Bunting–Evangelista0:480.00–0.000:540.00–0.00
Forsberg–Svechkov–Wood1:040.00–0.421:040.00–0.42
Josi–Perbix1:490.07–0.243:540.11–0.450:570.00–0.001:340.00–0.041:260.06–0.002:280.04–0.044:160.15–0.033:190.12–0.500:530.00–0.00
Skjei–Wilsby5:550.56–0.222:140.11–0.140:480.00–0.014:470.12–0.213:440.44–0.082:240.11–0.18
Hague–Blankenburg1:120.05–0.001:190.09–0.074:140.01–0.562:020.01–0.000:410.04–0.001:050.04–0.035:160.19–0.513:340.05–0.070:570.00–0.04
Josi–Blankenburg1:030.00–0.181:080.09–0.060:540.00–0.011:390.09–0.181:330.00–0.10
Hague–Wilsby1:100.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Hague–Perbix0:500.00–0.00
Josi–Hague
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FMcCarron FSchaefer FForsberg FEvangelista FO'Reilly FHaula FBunting FMarchessault FSvechkov FWood FStamkos FBlankenburg DHague DSkjei DWilsby DPerbix DJosi DSaros GStaal FCarrier FMartinook FAho FJarvis FSvechnikov FStankoven FEhlers FBlake FJankowski FHall FRobinson FGostisbehere DChatfield DMiller DWalker DNikishin DSlavin DKochetkov G
NSHCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Roman JosiNSH2322:280:591:4283
Seth JarvisCAR2121:411:021:5880
Nick BlankenburgNSH2721:300:482:5723
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2421:060:531:3753
Sean WalkerCAR2521:030:511:4451
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2420:400:521:5944
Sebastian AhoCAR2120:200:581:5850
Filip ForsbergNSH2119:410:562:0841
K'Andre MillerCAR2419:340:491:4151
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2419:110:481:5351
Steven StamkosNSH2118:580:541:3671
Luke EvangelistaNSH2118:270:532:1801
Nick PerbixNSH2018:230:551:5854
Brady SkjeiNSH2318:210:481:5325
Nicolas HagueNSH2518:080:441:2303
Cole SmithNSH2317:450:461:5326
Jordan StaalCAR2517:360:421:5359
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1917:310:551:5870
Adam WilsbyNSH2116:570:481:1914
Jaccob SlavinCAR2116:470:481:4727
Jackson BlakeCAR1916:280:521:5021
Alexander NikishinCAR2116:230:472:0233
Michael McCarronNSH2316:120:421:1616
Nikolaj EhlersCAR1815:300:521:2642
Eric RobinsonCAR1815:030:502:3417
Erik HaulaNSH1914:550:471:3012
Logan StankovenCAR1813:450:461:0641
Michael BuntingNSH1613:350:511:2322
Taylor HallCAR1712:490:451:1342
William CarrierCAR2012:390:381:0126
Fedor SvechkovNSH1512:050:481:2800
Mark JankowskiCAR1511:190:451:0623
Matthew WoodNSH1310:440:501:0401
Reid SchaeferNSH1410:010:431:1821
Jordan MartinookCAR105:440:340:5310
Jonathan MarchessaultNSH75:270:471:2411