Thu, Dec 18, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
56%
8%
9%
28%
BUF winsPHI wins
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:12 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:32 | 0.12 | 64.1% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:31 | 0.14 | 52.6% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:46 | 0.12 | 64.7% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:07 | 0.00 | 61.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 19:06 | 0.32 | 65.7% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:37 | 0.77 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.20 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:15 | 0.00 | 47.9% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.02 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:07 | 0.11 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.11 | 54.7% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:28 | 0.21 | 43.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:27 | 0.29 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.12 | 65.0% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:39 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:20 | 0.09 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:43 | 0.00 | 19.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.67 | −1.3 | 58:17 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 23:20 | 0.05 | 74.5% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:29 | 0.26 | 43.7% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 | 0.06 | 36.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:19 | 0.22 | 71.3% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.06 | 25.2% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 19:43 | 0.07 | 53.2% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.24 | 51.4% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:36 | 0.45 | 69.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.79 | 24.3% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 17:11 | 0.39 | 26.2% | +26.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.02 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.03 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.10 | 46.6% | +30.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:35 | 0.34 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:36 | 0.16 | 21.0% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:43 | 0.00 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:56 | 0.12 | 33.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 4:46 | 0.10 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.62 | −0.4 | 59:52 |