Thu, Dec 18, 2025·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Philadelphia Flyers 3, Buffalo Sabres 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 64% of the time.
56%
8%
9%
28%
BUF winsPHI wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PHI's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dvorak–Konecny–Zegras | Couturier–Grundstrom–Tippett | Cates–Brink–Michkov | Deslauriers–Hathaway–Abols | Konecny–Zegras–Brink | Tippett–Zegras–Michkov | Tippett–Cates–Michkov | Andrae–Drysdale | Sanheim–York | Seeler–Ristolainen | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Norris–Ostlund | 2:570.05–0.04 | 2:080.07–0.06 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:120.18–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.03 | 4:230.23–0.07 | 2:050.03–0.00 | 2:510.07–0.27 | ||
| Thompson–Krebs–Doan | 1:450.25–0.00 | 1:030.14–0.00 | 2:540.09–0.11 | 1:220.10–0.07 | 0:560.02–0.00 | 2:080.07–0.00 | 3:520.20–0.11 | 2:460.09–0.07 | ||
| McLeod–Quinn–Benson | 2:360.07–0.64 | 2:480.06–0.18 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 2:430.00–0.19 | 2:350.01–0.20 | 1:380.11–0.44 | |||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–Kozak | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:190.04–0.00 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.11 | 1:110.04–0.06 | ||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Krebs | 0:530.00–0.13 | 1:010.10–0.05 | 1:240.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.18 | 1:140.00–0.00 | |||||
| Norris–Doan–Ostlund | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 1:270.03–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–McLeod–Quinn | 0:350.00–0.14 | |||||||||
| Greenway–Malenstyn–McLeod | ||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 2:150.25–0.00 | 1:340.25–0.00 | 3:160.09–0.00 | 0:570.05–0.00 | 0:590.02–0.00 | 2:460.05–0.00 | 5:560.20–0.00 | 0:590.09–0.00 | ||
| Timmins–Byram | 2:240.08–0.00 | 3:190.03–0.05 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:270.18–0.02 | 3:340.26–0.07 | 3:000.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.00 | |||
| Kesselring–Power | 2:400.03–0.21 | 1:380.03–0.12 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:470.05–0.07 | 0:550.00–0.08 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 2:560.07–0.21 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 4:390.03–0.29 | |
| Timmins–Samuelsson | 1:230.00–0.46 | 1:010.00–0.06 | 0:460.04–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.20 | 1:320.04–0.32 | |||||
| Byram–Power | 1:240.00–0.24 | |||||||||
| Dahlin–Byram | 1:070.07–0.06 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.11 | 1:000.07–0.06 | ||||||
| Kesselring–Byram | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.18 | ||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Samuelsson–Power | 0:540.00–0.13 | 1:030.00–0.17 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFPHIFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 25 | 23:20 | 0:56 | 3:11 | 4 | 2 |
 Travis SanheimPHI | 26 | 23:12 | 0:54 | 3:26 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 26 | 21:29 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 23 | 20:41 | 0:54 | 1:33 | 2 | 2 |
 Trevor ZegrasPHI | 22 | 20:32 | 0:56 | 2:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Cam YorkPHI | 27 | 20:31 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 1 | 6 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 24 | 20:19 | 0:51 | 2:12 | 8 | 0 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 23 | 20:13 | 0:53 | 2:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Jamie DrysdalePHI | 22 | 19:46 | 0:54 | 1:56 | 1 | 3 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 24 | 19:43 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 2 | 2 |
 Josh NorrisBUF | 24 | 19:38 | 0:49 | 1:48 | 4 | 1 |
 Josh DoanBUF | 24 | 19:36 | 0:49 | 2:11 | 9 | 0 |
 Nick SeelerPHI | 23 | 19:07 | 0:50 | 1:58 | 2 | 2 |
 Travis KonecnyPHI | 22 | 19:06 | 0:52 | 2:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Christian DvorakPHI | 24 | 18:37 | 0:47 | 1:21 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan McLeodBUF | 27 | 18:35 | 0:41 | 1:31 | 2 | 4 |
 Owen TippettPHI | 21 | 17:21 | 0:50 | 1:55 | 3 | 2 |
 Emil AndraePHI | 22 | 17:15 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 0 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 20 | 17:11 | 0:52 | 2:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Rasmus RistolainenPHI | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Sean CouturierPHI | 22 | 16:07 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 2 | 6 |
 Conor TimminsBUF | 21 | 16:00 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Noah CatesPHI | 22 | 15:37 | 0:43 | 1:44 | 3 | 4 |
 Carl GrundstromPHI | 19 | 15:28 | 0:49 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Matvei MichkovPHI | 20 | 15:27 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 1 | 1 |
 Bobby BrinkPHI | 20 | 14:38 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 3 | 2 |
 Michael KesselringBUF | 22 | 14:07 | 0:39 | 1:47 | 1 | 3 |
 Noah OstlundBUF | 21 | 13:40 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 2 | 1 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 19 | 13:35 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 4 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 12:36 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 1 | 0 |
 Jordan GreenwayBUF | 15 | 9:43 | 0:39 | 1:05 | 1 | 3 |
 Beck MalenstynBUF | 14 | 8:56 | 0:38 | 1:24 | 1 | 4 |
 Garnet HathawayPHI | 12 | 8:39 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 3 |
 Rodrigo AbolsPHI | 12 | 8:20 | 0:42 | 1:06 | 1 | 4 |
 Nicolas DeslauriersPHI | 9 | 6:43 | 0:45 | 1:11 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyson KozakBUF | 7 | 4:46 | 0:41 | 1:00 | 0 | 3 |