Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington
Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 69% of the time.
61%
23%
WSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 | 0.00 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:35 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:01 | 0.04 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:48 | 0.04 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 19:45 | 0.11 | 5.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.35 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 17:07 | 0.05 | 23.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.06 | 13.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.11 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 0.61 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.01 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15:21 | 0.64 | 63.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:14 | 0.22 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.00 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:31 | 0.05 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:29 | 0.06 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:30 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.47 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 24:11 | 0.38 | 63.1% | +17.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.12 | 71.8% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 20:33 | 0.42 | 93.5% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:05 | 0.00 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.24 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:51 | 0.06 | 59.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:30 | 0.37 | 39.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.07 | 63.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.32 | 67.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 | 0.13 | 45.7% | +4.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:49 | 0.46 | 81.9% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 14:04 | 0.24 | 84.6% | +18.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:53 | 0.18 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:52 | 0.00 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.06 | 70.5% | +13.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:06 | 0.34 | 79.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.01 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:18 | 0.06 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 22 | 0 | 1.000 | 2.35 | +2.4 | 59:48 |