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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 18, 2025·Capital One Arena, Washington

Toronto Maple Leafs 0, Washington Capitals 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 69% of the time.

WSH winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Joshua–Roy–McMannNylander–Matthews–KniesLaughton–Domi–LorentzTavares–Robertson–CowanTavares–Robertson–KniesNylander–Matthews–CowanLaughton–Lorentz–McMannTavares–Joshua–KniesLaughton–Robertson–CowanMcCabe–StecherRielly–ThrunEkman-Larsson–BenoitBenoit–ThrunEkman-Larsson–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitStecher–Thrun
Ovechkin–Strome–Beauvillier3:490.27–0.302:010.00–0.080:400.00–0.275:340.35–0.410:310.00–0.001:100.05–0.291:050.00–0.00
Dowd–Duhaime–Trineyev1:280.00–0.011:280.08–0.001:160.01–0.020:370.00–0.001:460.10–0.182:230.06–0.201:140.00–0.011:260.10–0.000:370.00–0.000:340.03–0.000:380.00–0.00
Wilson–Protas–Sourdif0:410.00–0.022:320.25–0.001:130.10–0.002:030.26–0.000:490.06–0.001:090.06–0.021:450.19–0.000:370.00–0.001:570.38–0.030:380.00–0.00
Milano–McMichael–Frank1:140.17–0.001:470.23–0.001:530.11–0.120:550.00–0.003:140.35–0.120:490.00–0.000:300.17–0.00
Protas–Sourdif–Frank0:340.00–0.000:540.08–0.070:340.00–0.000:480.08–0.07
Roy–Chychrun3:290.06–0.100:300.00–0.002:210.23–0.131:590.00–0.101:220.06–0.040:590.12–0.002:140.13–0.004:030.13–0.061:310.05–0.290:540.00–0.002:170.28–0.030:400.00–0.09
Carlson–Fehérváry1:170.00–0.153:210.35–0.000:480.00–0.002:150.14–0.311:490.28–0.000:560.20–0.072:250.06–0.331:060.05–0.003:170.31–0.001:340.00–0.001:070.31–0.001:010.20–0.07
Sandin–Chisholm0:450.21–0.002:030.06–0.021:420.11–0.331:030.00–0.004:050.28–0.221:030.11–0.120:500.00–0.00
Chychrun–Chisholm1:470.16–0.001:040.00–0.001:440.16–0.00
Carlson–Sandin1:220.26–0.000:460.05–0.00
Chychrun–Sandin0:500.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Fehérváry–Sandin0:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOvechkin FStrome FBeauvillier FProtas FSourdif FWilson FDowd FMcMichael FMilano FFrank FDuhaime FTrineyev FRoy DChychrun DFehérváry DCarlson DSandin DChisholm DThompson GRoy FMcMann FJoshua FKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FCowan FDomi FRobertson FLaughton FLorentz FRielly DEkman-Larsson DStecher DMcCabe DBenoit DThrun DHildeby G
WSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jakob ChychrunWSH2124:111:092:3031
John CarlsonWSH2221:521:001:4225
Jake McCabeTOR2420:560:521:5501
Matthew KniesTOR2220:350:561:4841
Tom WilsonWSH2220:330:562:2346
Matt RoyWSH2020:051:001:4512
Troy StecherTOR2520:010:481:5913
Morgan RiellyTOR2319:480:521:5032
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:450:541:4844
Dylan StromeWSH1818:581:032:2142
Martin FehérváryWSH2018:510:571:4923
Alex OvechkinWSH1818:301:024:1550
Nicolas RoyTOR2317:500:471:2724
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2417:070:431:3035
Rasmus SandinWSH2116:530:481:3513
William NylanderTOR1916:510:531:5342
Easton CowanTOR1716:190:581:2531
John TavaresTOR1916:180:511:2850
Simon BenoitTOR2416:180:411:1523
Connor McMichaelWSH2016:050:481:5922
Nic DowdWSH2215:280:421:1826
Henry ThrunTOR1915:270:491:3132
Nick RobertsonTOR1715:210:541:2340
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2214:490:401:2843
Justin SourdifWSH1914:040:441:2033
Anthony BeauvillierWSH1813:530:461:2632
Scott LaughtonTOR1713:140:471:1913
Declan ChisholmWSH1712:520:451:2312
Max DomiTOR1512:400:511:2530
Steven LorentzTOR1712:310:441:1012
Bobby McMannTOR1712:290:441:2301
Ethen FrankWSH1612:040:451:2002
Sonny MilanoWSH1311:060:511:4800
Brandon DuhaimeWSH1510:400:431:2221
Dakota JoshuaTOR1610:300:391:0703
Bogdan TrineyevWSH159:180:371:1621